The story of the moment is that the polls show Obama still ahead when he should be a mile behind. There are two problems for Romney, neither one of which I could offer him any advice about. There is firstly the fall out from the primaries which has apparently still left some frosty remains behind. I think that will go away as the time gets closer to the end, but the absence of real warmth towards a candidate who would be the next Ronald Reagan continues to amaze me. I had not a few conversations with Americans at Mont Pelerin and the lack of real interest in either seeing Obama lose or Romney win was quite striking. The closest I had to an articulate response was that in comparison with Ronald Reagan, Romney had not read the literature so was really not much more of a bit of flotsam that would be swept in any direction that advantage might require.
The other bit is the media. I understand that no one can remain totally uninfluenced by the way the campaign is being reported but I continuously discuss the election with people who make me think they have just come from reading the latest editorial in The New York Times. The cartoon by Ramirez (via Hot Air) is something that should never be out of mind reading any story in any newspaper without exception and it goes even more so with anything that comes through the ether. Unless it is confirmed by some trusted source, it is safest to just assume it’s an attempt to mislead or distort.
In the meantime I still believe Romney will win and this is why. Over the past four years there is not a single person who did not vote for Obama last time who will vote for him this time. He has not gained a single vote in the past four years and lost many. If Obama can win from here, the media-freeloader-Democrat complex will have become too difficult to dislodge. Waiting for utter catastrophe is not a strategy.