I have kept away from discussing polls in the American election because in the end it is the last thing that really matters and I don’t want to get my hopes too far up. Nevertheless, there is a value in seeing that one is not alone, that our side really can win and that another four years of Obama is not inevitable. So I offer this, not with my endorsement, but merely to remind all you American voters out there – the two dozen of you who read this site – not to forget to cast your vote. Who knows, as this article says, there may be a Republican tsunami on the way and you wouldn’t want to miss out on being part of this tidal wave of support for the 45th President of the United States:
According to a GOP analysis of early voting and absentee ballot requests provided to Secrets, the Democrats are turning out their most reliable, or so-called ‘high propensity voters’ than Republicans, leaving fewer for Election Day. The GOP is pushing weaker supporters to vote early, expecting high enthusiasm to drive their regular supporters to the polls next week.
‘Democrats are cannibalizing their high-propensity voters in advance of election day to get stories that they are winning,’ said a GOP analyst. ‘But in effect they are stealing from Peter, or Election Day, to pay Paul, or early voting.’ . . .
Even with the difference in turnout of loyal supporters, Gallup finds that among early voters, Romney is beating Obama 52 percent to 45 percent, though some state totals show an Obama advantage. Plus in states like North Carolina, Colorado and Iowa, the GOP has seen huge requests for last-minute absentee ballots this month.
And there is Sandy that will affect turnout and I am reliably informed (by my wife) that about a foot of snow (or did she say a metre) is expected in the midwest. This is the time for the broken-glass Republicans to show they really mean it – that they will crawl over broken glass to get to the polls to finally get rid of Obama.
And what is possibly the most remarkable part of this last week is that because of Sandy, it may even be impossible to know what’s going on since it is now impossible to survey people who are no longer contactable by phone. As with New York City itself, we are now all in the dark.
The 45th President will either be Romney or Biden.
Obama is going down one way or another.
jupes
31 Oct 12 at 9:04 am
Let Obama look Presidential.
And let Romney grab a shovel and start filling some sandbags if he’s planning on eschewing campaigning for the duration of the storm.
Works for Tony Abbott.
The Old and Unimproved Dave
31 Oct 12 at 9:33 am
“And what is possibly the most remarkable part of this last week is that because of Sandy, it may even be impossible to know what’s going on.”
Arguably, given that much of the mass-market media in the US has secretly signed on with Obama, the coming storm-caused lack of news reports might well leave us better informed about what is truly happening than we normally would be if Chris Matthews had his electricity turned back on.
It’s sad. I’m old enough to remember when newspapers and radio news and TV news were staffed with people who were primarily “journalists.” At some point, the large corporations that owned papers and stations and networks decided to hire their employees from the ranks of campaign workers instead.
I suspect it was a control thing: since you can’t completely control what your employees might be writing or saying on a daily basis, prudent management practice holds that you stay safer by hiring people whose thesis, at least, will always stay on-message.
bobby b
31 Oct 12 at 9:51 am
Someone over at Ace of Spades HQ wrote the following, which I thought worthy of bringing here for an opinion:
…assuming elections go as scheduled, this will keep a LOT of voters in NYC away from the polls because they’re “Still recovering”, etc.
I suspect that it would (on balance) be educated Democrat voters who stayed home, as they’re the ones more likely to embrace the whole schtick about dealing with their “grief and trauma” issues before they can get on with life, whereas the “simpler” Republicans they deride would recognise that some things take priority over (metaphorically) curling up in a corner and rocking back and forth. Your thoughts?
Whatever the case, I wrote in reply:
If they’re going to be special snowflakes over it, that’s their problem. Trouble with NYC is, it’s never had the shit bombed out of it on a regular basis like the Germans did London in both World Wars (though more sporadically in the first) and the IRA did intermittently from then on. If the Nazis had ever completed their “Amerika-Bomber” programme, Americans in general and New Yorkers in particular might have had a different cultural attitude to bad shit befalling them.
Dave: as far as Romney is concerned, he’s already been organising donations of supplies (food and clothing etc.) to hand out, even while he campaigns. So if he hasn’t yet literally picked up a shovel, he’s shown he’s doing his bit. Andrea Mitchell of MSNBC reportedly gave him a very hard time over it.
perturbed
31 Oct 12 at 11:44 pm
New CBS/NYT polls from FL, VA, OH show Obama in lead – as long as GOP turnout is lower than in 2008
http://hotair.com/archives/2012/10/31/final-cbsnytq-polls-in-oh-fl-va-show-obama-up/
“Smells like desperation.”
sdog
1 Nov 12 at 12:04 am
From dear old Joe Biden:
“I’m going to give you the whole load today.”
Please, please, America: for the love of God and all that’s holy, vote him and his boss OUT.
perturbed
1 Nov 12 at 6:12 am