Tasmania Votes 2018

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112 Responses to Tasmania Votes 2018

  1. JMH

    At 12 minutes into the Election count, do I see Green Ant Green already handing the Election to Labor?

  2. A complex electoral roll.
    So few surnames!

  3. egg_

    Will the map o’ Tassie be red or blue?
    Will Lambie get a guernsey?

  4. Ubique

    Has anyone any figures on what percentage of Tasmania’s workforce are on a public payroll? Is there any industry left in Tasmania apart from the odd fish farm or apple grower? My guess is for every salmon farm there must be 500 public servants regulating it.

  5. Pyrmonter

    Predictions?

    Sinking feeling it will be Lib 11-14, Lab 9-12, Grn 3-5

    Greens move no confidence; Labor support, and Tas gets another weak minority government

  6. Bruce of Newcastle

    Hehe, ABC24 has a talk with Antony Green then crosses to the Green leader.
    Green One and Green Two!

  7. Fat Tony

    Ubique
    #2650930, posted on March 3, 2018 at 6:40 pm
    Has anyone any figures on what percentage of Tasmania’s workforce are on a public payroll? Is there any industry left in Tasmania apart from the odd fish farm or apple grower? My guess is for every salmon farm there must be 500 public servants regulating it

    Elphinstones

  8. a happy little debunker

    Looking less and less like a white-wash & more and more like a will-wash!

  9. a happy little debunker

    Lambie stopped campaigning 2 weeks ago to likely preserve funds for her next senate run.

    Questions should be asked!

  10. a happy little debunker

    Good news everybody – Green vote is down, down, down.

  11. Marcus

    Good news everybody – Green vote is down, down, down.

    Great news. It looks like most of Labor’s gains are coming at the Greens’ expense.

    We should also acknowledge just how remarkable a Will Hodgman re-election would be. He’s been party leader since 2006, led the Liberals to party from opposition eight years later, served a full term as Premier and looks like getting re-elected with a similar mandate. In the era of Rudd and Gillard, O’Farrell and Baird, Baillieu and Napthine, Iemma, Rees and Keneally, Rann and Weatherill … that’s just amazing.

  12. Tel

    Yeah so far Liberals doing OK, the “Jacqui Lambie Network” is pretty much just a spoiler, probably nibbling some votes away from the ALP, presumably preferences will trickle back home again. The Shooters doing about 5% probably feed preference mostly to the Liberals.

  13. Jobson Grothe

    Another jurisdiction gets with the program.

    Tasmania is a global treasure and shouldn’t be left to the tender mercies of bizarre rural Abbott loving luddites.

  14. a happy little debunker

    Jobson Grothe at 7:49 pm

    Tasmania is a global treasure and should not be further sacrificed to the gods of socialism.

    By all means, ‘save’ us by paying us even more of your hard earned – we are happy to accept., but don’t expect we will ever agree with your political philosophy!

  15. Ƶĩppʯ (ȊꞪꞨV)

    A true leader

  16. egg_

    “Tasmania is a global treasure and should be left to the tender mercies of bizarre rural Abbott loving luddites” is how it scans – just like New England, we treasure our two-headed headrests on our Qantas flights.

  17. Baldrick

    Jackie Lambie looking like not winning even one seat, but strong preference flow from JLN to Labor.
    Greenfilth to lose one, maybe two seats, which would put them down to 1 member in parliament.
    Labor likely to pick-up two, maybe three seats from the Liberals and Greens.
    Liberals likely to retain majority government, but with the loss of a couple of seats.

  18. a happy little debunker

    egg_ at 8:20 pm

    interesting thing about goitres and iodine deficiency in local water supply is that all mainlanders are now exposed to additional iodine via their bread – because of their falling Iodine levels.

    2-headed mainlanders have become the new norm!

  19. Dave in Marybrook

    What about McGowan, Marcus? Sheesh, just cos we’re the Tasmania of the west…

  20. Marcus

    What about McGowan, Marcus? Sheesh, just cos we’re the Tasmania of the west…

    My point was about Hodgman’s longevity compared to other leaders. McGowan hasn’t knifed a sitting Premier yet, or been knifed … yet.

  21. Fisky

    Greens, Lambie get absolutely slaughtered!

  22. Fisky

    Lambie giving concession speech to empty room.

  23. Tel

    Andrea Dawkins MP

    Andrea is an experienced small business operator, having been the founder of Fresh restaurant; Launceston’s first establishment to exclusively offer vegetarian and vegan cuisine. The business evolved into a hybrid social enterprise focussed on promoting social inclusion, food provenance and animal welfare.

    Fresh became a hub for the ‘green’ community, particularly at the height of the anti pulp mill movement.

    Seems like one of those angsty cause chasers. Anyway, didn’t impress the voters, would take a miracle at this stage for her to hang in there.

  24. H B Bear

    In an ordered world talking about the Tasmanian election would be half a dozen town councils under the control of the neo-Marxist state of Victoriastan.

  25. Marcus

    Greens, Lambie get absolutely slaughtered!

    Tasmanians are just like everyone else, in the end. Got to eat your Greens.

  26. a happy little debunker

    Lambie – we woz robbed!
    Collins – we woz robbed!
    McKim – we woz robbed!

    Team Hodgman – Bwahahahahahaha!

  27. H B Bear

    In an ordered world the Tasmanian election would be determined under the Duckworth-Lewis system and not the Hare Clark.

  28. a happy little debunker

    H B Bear at 8:44 pm

    Makes the likely victory all the more sweet!

  29. Delta A

    Team Hodgman – Bwahahahahahaha!

    How much did the announcement regarding relaxing gun laws affect the (likely) outcome?

  30. nemkat

    Jon Howard [spit] said the Greens would be gone in 2 Election cycles, after seeing the results of the 2016 Federal Election.
    People laughed, but he’s looking like Nostradamus now.

  31. Roger.

    Eric Abetz on ABC coverage offering good value.

    Reminded viewers that ALP leadership aspirant David O’Byrne is a Chavez supporter and as a minister in the Giddings gov’t presided over an unemployment rate of 8.1%.

  32. nemkat

    They’re hardly going to relax Gun Laws, just lessen the Police hunting people minding their own business.
    Guns is a Women’s Issue, most of them are Hoplophobes, so maybe Hodgman stripped enough men voters offa Labor to cancel that out.

  33. rugbyskier

    Looks like the Liberals will get 13 or 14 seats. They’ve lost a seat in Braddon, going from an unbelievable 4 seats to 3. The other seat to look at is Franklin, where the Libs are 0.15 short of a third quota. They will hold the seat if they get 90% of the Shooters’ preferences. The Libs look like holding their existing seats in Bass, Lyons and Denison.

  34. Herodotus

    In an ordered world talking about the Tasmanian election would be half a dozen town councils …

    In an ordered world the ACT would be just one town council. There’s something bizarre and Lilliputian about the miniature and mostly foolish “government” foisted on it by Clyde Holding after a referendum rejected self-government.

  35. nemkat

    Reminded viewers that ALP leadership aspirant David O’Byrne is a Chavez supporter

    Any relation to long serving Tasmanian Senator Justin O’Byrne?
    And probly a few hundred other O’Byrnes on the Public teat?

  36. rugbyskier

    The ALP gains appear to be at the expense of the Greens. They will pick up one seat off the Libs and likely two seats off the Greens.

  37. C.L.

    Far out.
    Tasmania had an election today?
    LOL.

  38. Pyrmonter

    A pleasant surpriese

  39. rugbyskier

    Libs inching closer to retaining the third seat in Franklin, getting up to 2.9 quotas now with 75% of the votes counted. It will depend on the big booths on the eastern shore of the Derwent, around Bellerive and Rosny Park, as they won’t have reported results yet.

  40. rugbyskier

    Current results are:

    Bass: Liberal 3, ALP 2
    Braddon: Liberal 3, ALP 2
    Denison: Liberal 2, ALP 2, Greens 1
    Franklin: Liberal 2, ALP 2 Undecided 1
    Lyons: Liberal 3, ALP2

    With around 70% counted it’s Liberal 13, ALP 10, Greens 1, Undecided 1

  41. Fisky

    The last minute anti-gun scare has been a total humiliating failure for the Left!

  42. rugbyskier

    Liberals up to 2.91 quotas in Franklin with 80% of the vote counted. If they get 60% of the Shooters’ preferences they will hold the third seat and the Greens lose a seat.

  43. Bruce of Newcastle

    Btw anyone looking at the TEC tally that Tel has linked for us (eg here’s Bass) ignore the quotas numbers. The quotas add up to 6 not 5.

    Oops.

  44. Fisky

    The Liberals have won a sweeping mandate for a pro-gun policy. They must get down to liberalising guns at once!

  45. Zulu Kilo Two Alpha

    Emotional Lambie laments result

    An emotional Jacqui Lambie has conceded her fledgling network would not win any seats, blaming a superior cash spend by the major parties.

    “The only people who are going to be missing out… are these bloody Tasmanians,” she said. “They could have had political police on the beat; they could have had a choker chain around those majors (parties) and they have decided they don’t want that this time.”

    Meanwhile, Tasmanian senator Eric Abetz said it looked like the Liberals would end up with three seats in Braddon, Bass and Lyons and two in Franklin and Denison “… that adds up to 13, which is a majority. So I think we’re on track. But I would just like a few of the bigger booths to come in,” he told the ABC.

    Labor senator Julie Collins was not ready to concede.

    But former Labor premier Lara Giddings said it was unlikely the opposition could form a majority government.

    “The Liberals vote is looking strong enough that they can get a majority,” election analyst Antony Green said

    From the Oz. Ever gracious in defeat, aye, Jacqui?

  46. a happy little debunker

    All over, all done.

    Majority government in Tasmania rulz for 4 more years

  47. rugbyskier

    Bruce, that’s correct. A quota is 16.67% of the vote but if a party gets a full quota they get a seat. Partial quotas are distributed as preferences until a person or party gets a full quota and then the remaining partial quotas are effectively exhausted votes.

    The key for the Liberals to hold the third seat in Franklin is to get enough preferences from the Shooters to get over 3.0 quotas, then the ALP preferences to the Greens are exhausted.

  48. nemkat

    Picked a name at random from the list of Parliamentarians in Tas.
    Son of a former ALP Premier.

    Is it even possible to get a gig for Labor in Tassie if you’re not a Princeling?

  49. Fisky

    The election loser looks a bit like that Kiwi bird.

  50. Marcus

    Liberals up to 2.91 quotas in Franklin with 80% of the vote counted. If they get 60% of the Shooters’ preferences they will hold the third seat and the Greens lose a seat.

    So, almost a dead cert for 14 then.

    I think Campbell Newman called it on Monday.

  51. Fisky

    Blah blah people before profits.

  52. Fisky

    This crowd are unbelievably stupid.

  53. Des Deskperson

    “In an ordered world the ACT would be just one town council. ‘

    Herodotus, I used to work in the ACT Public service as a consultant, and I was always amused and at the same time depressed by the people in this minuscule jurisdiction running around with ‘Cabinet Submissions ‘ and ‘Question Tine Briefs’ as though it was a reeely, you know, big time grown up government.

  54. Boambee John

    Des D

    The ACT should be reduced to the Parliamentary Triangle, the Lodge, Anzac Parade, the War Memorial, Russell, Duntroon, Campbell Park and ADFA.

    No local government, except for a city council in NSW.

  55. rugbyskier

    Opposition Leader gives a ‘concession’ speech without actually conceding defeat, refuses to congratulate the Premier and accuses the Liberals of buying the election. It was so churlish even the Sky News commentators made an observation that it was ‘not the done thing’. You know it’s bad when David Speers admonishes a Labor pollie.

  56. Marcus

    Herodotus, I used to work in the ACT Public service as a consultant, and I was always amused and at the same time depressed by the people in this minuscule jurisdiction running around with ‘Cabinet Submissions ‘ and ‘Question Tine Briefs’ as though it was a reeely, you know, big time grown up government.

    An efficiency expert was hired to do an audit of a public service department, and on his first morning he ventured into a public servant’s office and inquired as to what he was doing. “Absolutely nothing!” said the public servant. He went to the next office and asked the same question. “Absolutely nothing!” came the reply. “Aha!” said the efficiency expert. “That’s duplication of effort!”

    … As you were.

  57. Baldrick

    Eric Abetz on ABC coverage offering good value.
    Reminded viewers that ALP leadership aspirant David O’Byrne is a Chavez supporter and as a minister in the Giddings gov’t presided over an unemployment rate of 8.1%.

    The grub O’Byrne also labelled Margaret Thatcher a war criminal on the news of her death.

  58. egg_

    Has duplicitous Bill commented, yet?

  59. Leigh Lowe

    Jesua.
    The Greens slag has lost her shit big time.

  60. egg_

    Insiders will be delicious.
    Excuses, excuses, excuses…

  61. NB

    With all respect, no-one should ever use the phrase ‘to the next level’. Twice is a crime. Funnily, Eric Abetz had, only moments before, lampooned it lightly.

  62. Marcus

    Incidentally, while the Hodgman government was being handily re-elected and giving the Liberal Party their best day in at least 18 months, Malcolm Turnbull was having selfies with Cher at the Sydney Gay and Lesbian Mardi Gras.

  63. Unsurprising that the Libs own Tasmania now. The entire state is a funeral home.

  64. egg_

    The entire state is a funeral home.

    Jost like New England.

  65. feelthebern

    So much for the Skynews forum the other night that gave the night to the ALP 50 something per cent to 20 odd per cent for the Libs.
    At some stage they really need to get undecided voters.
    Not ALP/Green plants.

  66. Rayvic

    Under the good old days would not Labor have supported the pubs operating poker machines for recreational activities?
    How was the Labor vote impacted by its proposed abolition of poker machines from pubs?

  67. Leigh Lowe

    Unsurprising that the Libs own Tasmania now. The entire state is a funeral home.

    Oh?
    Ten years ago Tassie was the great white hope of clean green jerbs and an arts/MONA led recovery.
    Wha’ hap’nd dude?

  68. Rebel with cause

    Cassie O’Connor is the partner of Nick McKim. Nick ran the Greens vote down and then jumped to Bob Brown’s Senate seat. Now Cassie has run the vote down even further, hopefully will just be a party of one in the Tasmanian Parliament.

    Maybe will follow through to Senate vote at next Federal election.

  69. Oh?
    Ten years ago Tassie was the great white hope of clean green jerbs and an arts/MONA led recovery.
    Wha’ hap’nd dude?

    Dunno, but there has been an exodus of young families. Libs are in power, go ask them.

  70. Herodotus

    An exodus of young families would indicate insufficient employment.

  71. Snoopy

    Young Tasmanians fortunate enough to have been born with just one head have been moving interstate since the 70’s if not earlier.

  72. Linden

    Well that’s like the old joke about PSs’, why don’t they look out the window in the morning? because if they did they would have nothing to do in the afternoon.

  73. Entropy

    Maybe will follow through to Senate vote at next Federal election

    Not a chance. All one needs to get elected as a Tasmanian Senator is to get most of your relatives to vote for you.

  74. Linden

    that one is scary lol

  75. Linden

    that reminds me, must go look to see what Larry Pickering is up too.

  76. JohnA

    Leigh Lowe #2651189, posted on March 4, 2018, at 12:02 am

    Unsurprising that the Libs own Tasmania now. The entire state is a funeral home.

    Oh?
    Ten years ago Tassie was the great white hope of clean green jerbs and an arts/MONA led recovery.
    Wha’ hap’nd dude?

    Shirtfronted by reality, dude…

  77. Linden

    Nick McKim, typical smart-arse greenie thinks he is so superior to everyone else, and it’s only the greenies who have the intelligence to run a government, he sounds just as does Natali on 3aw with Tom Elliott. full of smug hubris.

  78. Rebel with cause

    Getting rid of the taxpayer funded ABC should be the number 1 priority. Their stranglehold on rural and regional media turns places that should be reliably conservative like Tasmania into places where bonkers leftists get all the airtime.

  79. egg_

    Will the map o’ Tassie be red or blue?

    Map o’ Tassie gets the blue rinse.

  80. stackja

    Rebel with cause
    #2651285, posted on March 4, 2018 at 8:19 am

    People who believe the ABC are the problem.

  81. egg_

    Ten years ago Tassie was the great white hope of clean green jerbs and an arts/MONA led recovery.

    Give em Nukes plus hydro – all those Green jerbs.
    They can be our powerhouse via teh interconnector – build a few more of ’em.

  82. egg_

    Getting rid of the taxpayer funded ABC should be the number 1 priority. Their stranglehold on rural and regional media turns places that should be reliably conservative like Tasmania into places where bonkers leftists get all the airtime.

    Shows that their brainwashing doesn’t sway mouldies, just risks the plasma screen.

  83. John Constantine

    Tasmania can become the new China, where the rubbish of melbournibad is sent to be incinerated to fuel steam boilers.

    Twenty million people in Big melbournibad will either be rationed so no rubbish is thrown out, need Tassie as a dumpster, or be Veneztralia poor.so nothing is thrown away.

  84. H B Bear

    Well this is a problem. What to call Mainland Tasmania now?

  85. Leigh Lowe

    Rebel with cause

    #2651195, posted on March 4, 2018 at 12:25 am

    Cassie O’Connor is the partner of Nick McKim. 

    Really?
    She’s not lesbian?
    After watching her snarling “we was robbed” speech last night I almost feel sorry for him.

  86. Delta A

    What to call Mainland Tasmania now?

    Same as last week, when the Libs were in power. You silly bear, you.

  87. Tel

    After watching her snarling “we was robbed” speech last night I almost feel sorry for him.

    Send him a few bottles of good scotch, wrapped up in a one man hiking tent.

  88. Entropy

    Let me get this straight. O’Connor and McKim are two members of the same family and are currently parliamentarians. Leaving aside the massive combined salary that implies, how does this happen in a party system? These two must have the system stitched up for their nepotistic benefit.

    In the real public service if that happened there would be a CCC inquiry.

  89. Entropy

    How come the media aren’t interested in a story of how certain families control parliamentary parties, and show a “family tree” of the interrelationships.

    Probably because the media themselves are just as bad.

  90. Frank

    Cassie O’Connor is the partner of Nick McKim.

    After watching her snarling “we was robbed” speech last night I almost feel sorry for him.

    The prison tatts are a nice touch. Just goes to show that while you can take the girl out of Chigwell you can never take Chigwell out of the girl.

  91. Rockdoctor

    During ad breaks flipping to Sky News & saw that nasty speech by the Greens Leader, reminded me a bit of one given by Helen Clark after she was dispatched by NZ. Seems the ALP got in on the act too. Wow talk about sour grapes, as if they thought they were a shoe in. Maybe they thought there would be another Adern moment where a vacuous young face would be enough to sway the electorate… Know it is a pipedream but would love to see Hodgeman explode some more heads & restart mining. There’s an amazing variety of precious metal deposits & base metals in the complex geology there.

  92. Linden

    Well I suppose if they want all those lovely eco batteries to be storing the green renewable engergy for them, then they will have to find a substantive supply of the right kind of stuff. Reading an interesting article in the Oz a week or so back, it would appear or rather no doubt, that China has a strangle hold on the supply of the necessary metals, mainly sourced out of the Congo, who would have guessed they would do such a thing.

  93. a happy little debunker

    Frank at 9:59 am

    Old McKimmy hated dams.
    E-I-E-I-O
    & with that damn he had some bogans.
    E-I-E-I-O
    With a chigga, chigga here
    And a chigga, chigga there
    Here a chigga, there a chigga
    Everywhere a chigga, chigga
    Old McKimmy hated dams.
    E-I-E-I-O

  94. Rebel with cause

    Cassy got her start as a staffer for former ALP minister Duncan Kerr. She jumped ship when she saw the Greens on the rise in Tasmania.

    She is a political opportunist of the highest order. The Greens party fully deserves her and her hopeless partner McKim. Chancers whose luck is finally running out.

  95. Robbo

    Why don’t Tasmanians demand a referendum on whether they should secede to New Zealand. They would fit in very well with them and it would mean that Australia would be rid of one of its beggar States, a few Greens Senators and Jacqui Lambie. Seems like a good win for us if it went ahead.

  96. H B Bear

    What to call Mainland Tasmania now?
    Same as last week, when the Libs were in power. You silly bear, you.

    Tasmania at least looks like it is trying to throw off its failed State status. Mainland Tasmania looks like it is going to double down. Under these circumstances it looks like a great dis-service to them.

  97. egg_

    What to call Mainland Tasmania now?

    The Weatherdildo State?
    How’s winter shaping up – freezing of windmills?

  98. Rebel with cause

    Why don’t Tasmanians demand a referendum on whether they should secede to New Zealand

    They should have demanded it in 1982 before Bob Hawke ran on the promise to stop the Franklin Dam. Canberra has had free reign to keep Tasmania down ever since.

  99. Delta A

    Mainland Tasmania looks like it is going to double down.

    Newspoll suggests that the Libs are ahead in mainland Tasmania. That might be significant… in any other state.

  100. Dr Fred Lenin

    All the Libs have to do to restore credibility is to turf turnbull and the leftist Manchuria candidates that follow him out ,restore Abbott and a conservative ministry , reject the gangrene u.n.communist energy scammers ,stop subsidies to renewables , stop the mass of illiterate peasant migration and “refugees” ,g[deport criminals nd unemployable migrants and families ,change migration to usefull employable people ,. Then they can cut the public service drastically ,privatise many government functions, build many coal fired power stations to make energy cheap ,scrap pynes subs and build missile capabilities and nuclear deterrent ICBMs to respond to the Norks threats . Then they can start work getting real Australian candidates into parliament instead of lawtrade failures <there woukd still be a lot to do but it would be a start .

  101. Dr Fred Lenin

    As for “refugees” the solution lies in their home countries not bringing them here to bludge on us and re create the hatred and problems they left behind . The only way the third world peasants will get out of poverty is good government and hard work ,it’s all down to them, the bleeding hearts aid is a tiny bandaid that’s more a nuisance than a solution .”Get off your ass and help yourselves “

  102. Sydney Boy

    At least the Wussions didn’t hack the Tasmanian election. According to the ALP, the Greens, and GetUp!*, the poker machine companies BOUGHT the election.

    * That undeclared Australian political party masquerading as a not-for-profit.

  103. Their ALPBC never gives up.
    Tally room interview with returned Liberal member, started with a jeering demand that the Liberal “recognise” that poker machines are bad, blah blah blah, The question was asked consecutively about Ten different ways.

    The ALPBC demanding the Liberal govt recognise the superiority of the defeated ALP’s policies.
    FMD. They did this in the NT election when the ALP got thrashed.

    Rabz doctrine.Now.

  104. Slim Cognito

    Don’t feel sorry for McKim. He deserves all he gets. What an ugly, nasty & miserable person she is.

  105. Beachcomber

    Rockdoctor
    #2651374, posted on March 4, 2018 at 10:03 am
    Maybe they thought there would be another Adern moment where a vacuous young face would be enough to sway the electorate…

    That’s what Labor-Green and their ABC-TASS were expecting. Topped off by a late ABC scare campaign that the Tas Liberals are plotting to let uncouth non-city people go on uncontrolled gun-rampages.

    Surprisingly, it didn’t work.

  106. TLD

    Tasmania has the highest TFR in Australia. Some funeral home.

  107. yarpos

    Funeral home commentor boy clearly hasnt tried to rent or buy a home in Hobart recently.

  108. Marcus

    As a final note of absurdity, Greens leader Cassy O’Connor had this to say:

    We were massively outspent, we were up against a big anti-green, pro-majority campaign,

    It’s now on the record that the Greens officially are anti the majority.

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