Australian government rubbishes government data

After the Wakefield survey results turned out to be unconvincing, the Australian government had another problem in demonstrating the efficacy of its plain packaging policy. Many government data sets showed that the prevalence or incidence of smoking had increased after the introduction of plain packaging.

Of course the very best data, the most audited data, would be tax data. Even there the data showed an increase – but the government were able to sow so much and misinformation that this outcome was obscured. We here at the Cat covered the 3.4% lie in great detail.

Here is some of the data and data sets the government had to throw under a bus.*

1. National Drug Strategy Household Survey

2. Cancer Institute New South Wales Tobacco Tracking Survey

3. South Australian Health Omnibus Survey

4. Victorian Smoking and Health Survey

5. Cancer Council Queensland Survey

37. Referring to a news item published in an Australian website, the Dominican Republic noted that while prevalence levels decreased for some subsets of the population, there had been a sharp increase in prevalence among Queenslanders aged between 25 and 34 after the implementation of the TPP measures.

So it turns out that all of those data sets are somehow flawed or contradictory to the Australian government’s preferred data set. No. Not the $3 million tracking study that the government itself commissioned and that too had failed to reveal the efficacy of the policy as the even WTO has now ruled. Not the National Drug Strategy Household Survey either. Nor the State government surveys that track health at great expense to the taxpayer.

The Australian government’s preferred data set is the Roy Morgan Single Source data set. Collected by the private sector. Paid for by the private sector.  It isn’t clear whether this data does support the government’s position on plain packaging – the flawed junk science analysis presented to the WTO does support the government’s position but unfortunately the full data set (including post 2015 data) is not available for replication studies and, of course, the original analysis is not peer reviewed.

Now I understand there are lots of people who don’t care about smoking or smokers. That’s fine. The point is that the Australian government has lied to us (perhaps others too) and that is unacceptable. One day they may lie to us about other issues too.

*I haven’t included any of the data sets that simply showed an on-trend decline in smoking.

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17 Responses to Australian government rubbishes government data

  1. Chris

    *I haven’t included any of the data sets that simply showed an on-trend decline in smoking.

    Butbutbutlook, of you take the average before, and the average after, the second one is LOWER!! PROOF!!! And the evil Lobby want profits and don’ care about LIVES!
    (Chapman 1986, 1987,1988, 1994, 1996, 1997 ,1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 , 2018)

  2. Lied to us about other things? Climate change? Immigration? Islam? Go on!

  3. OneWorldGovernment

    Lied to us about other things?

    Power Generation?

    Free Markets?

    Members of Parliament compliant with Sec 44?

  4. struth

    The population Ponzi scheme seems to go for cultures who like to sit around smoking all day, while their women folk serve them.

    Once their youthful warriors blow things up, there is even more smoke.

  5. Some History

    ….there are lots of people who don’t care about smoking or smokers.

    BIG mistake.

  6. H B Bear

    Smokers and old white males are the last groups of people that you may openly vilify without fear of State sanction.

  7. Alex Davidson

    We shouldn’t be surprised by this. Every day we are bombarded by propaganda designed to prop up the lie that we are better off under the rule of elites than if we lived in freedom.

    Plastic bags are bad. Trees are hallowed. We can control the weather. More tax is good. Free speech is bad. Everyone is the same. Gender is discretionary. Smoking is bad. Sugar is bad. Land zoning is good. You must not swear on TV. Public transport is good. Cars are bad. Socialised health is good. So is socialised education. Coal is bad. Capitalism is bad too. The ABC is good.

    On and on it goes, and the worst thing is that all this nonsensical and evil propaganda, along with the thousands of associated rules and regulations, is funded by plundering the dwindling numbers of those who create wealth.

    How much longer to the tipping point?

  8. duncanm

    One day they may lie They are lying to us about other issues too.

    FIFY

  9. Some History

    The point is that the Australian government has lied to us (perhaps others too) and that is unacceptable. One day they may lie to us about other issues too.

    Poor Sinc. You sound like a child that’s just discovered Santa Claus is a fiction. Governments lie constantly. Even when their corruption is obvious and beyond lying to cover up, it makes little to no difference these days. Where resignations were once in order, now it’s just business as usual. Apathy rules.

    And it’s not just government. Academia which feeds government “expert” advice is also corrupt. The priorities in a “post-truth” (i.e., moral destitution) age are stay in power and keep the troughs full for the “expert” buddies.

    And when it comes to lying you can’t get a more proficient group than Public Health/Tobacco Control. Sinc, you’re just touching the tip of the iceberg of lying with plain packaging. Lying for PH/TC is the natural state. Convinced of their “righteousness” and the [deranged] quest for their smokefree (i.e., sanity free) “utopia”, the end justifies the means: Lying, cheating, stealing, manipulating is all above board to these pontificating plops. Need “evidence” for questionable policy? No problem. One of the hoovers at the university troughs or “charity” organizations will “massage” data until – barda bing, barda boom – there’s the required “evidence”.

  10. Sinclair Davidson

    You sound like a child that’s just discovered Santa Claus is a fiction.

    I’m being polite – I’ve caught the government lying on other occasions.

  11. RobK

    Thanks Sinc,
    What you are saying needs to be said.

  12. Rae

    David Morrison is a frau who continues to capitalize on his deceitful and dishorourable actions.

    The Minister for Defence, Marise Payne, should:

    – immediately have him stripped of his retirement rank,
    – have his pension/superannuations entitlements reduced to the next lower rank,
    – recommend to the Governor-General that his Australian of the Year award be revoked.

  13. Howard Hill

    Sinclair Davidson
    #2751486, posted on July 1, 2018 at 1:02 pm

    You sound like a child that’s just discovered Santa Claus is a fiction.

    I’m being polite – I’ve caught the government lying on other occasions.

    LOL You sound so sincere and innocent, Sinc. Almost pure.
    These scum never stop lying fullstop!

  14. Leo G

    David Morrison is a Frau … Fraud

    Fraudian Freudian slip

  15. Some History

    Sinc, Chris Snowdon has some thoughts on the WTO verdict and the “slippery slope”:
    https://velvetgloveironfist.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-domino-theory-revisited.html

  16. MACK

    “One day they may lie to us about other issues too.”
    Here’s an article about a big intervention for obesity in UK school kids – it didn’t work at all despite a massive effort: “The 12 month intervention encouraged healthy eating and physical activity, including a daily additional 30 minute school time physical activity opportunity, a six week interactive skill based programme in conjunction with Aston Villa football club, signposting of local family physical activity opportunities through mail-outs every six months, and termly school led family workshops on healthy cooking skills.”
    “The primary analyses suggest that this experiential focused intervention had no statistically significant effect on BMI z score or on preventing childhood obesity.”
    https://www.bmj.com/content/360/bmj.k211

    The reality is that much of this time and money is completely wasted, but governments never admit it.

    Here is what the Victorian Auditor-general had to say recently about community health programs in that state: “DHHS does not regularly monitor whether the CHP’s limited service hours are being provided primarily to Victoria’s priority populations or what outcomes these services are delivering. Nor does it know where there is demand for the CHP or the extent of this demand across Victoria”.
    https://www.audit.vic.gov.au/report/community-health-program?section=32841

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