Laframboise on the IPCC revisited

The scathing and evidence-based critique of the governance of the IPCC remains topical as long as the IPCC produces rubbish in the name of science. The good news is that almost 800 people checked out this link after it appeared on the Cat last week and a day or so later in a post on Tim Blair’s blog.

The overwhelming majority of the visitors came from The Daily Telegraph. When I post links from my website on the Cat I usually get 40 to 80 visits and once when Andrew Bold ran a link it raised 800. For the benefit of Cats who were too lazy to follow the link (admittedly I have posted it at least once a year since it first went up) I will run some of the worst examples of fraud here.

The Steve McIntyre case

McIntyre has a track record of his own, with his demolition of the “hockey stick” claim about global warming. So it is surprising that he was selected to be an expert reviewer for the documents feeding into the 2007 reports. Laframboise reports that McIntyre noticed that the arguments in one of the major reports were based on two papers which had not yet been published. He was suspicious of the results so he asked to see the raw data. According to the IPCC rules the support units are supposed to provide expert reviewers with material that is not readily available. They have fulltime staff and the reviewers mostly do the work pro bono. The head of the unit was Martin Manning, now head of a research institute in a NZ university. Twice he refused to help McIntyre. His second email read:

“Let me repeat – If you wish to obtain data used in a paper you should make a direct request to the original authors yourself. It would be inappropriate for the IPCC to become involved in that communication and I have no intention of allowing the IPCC support unit to provide you with what would in effect be a secretarial service. There are over 1200 other scientists on our list of reviewers and we simply cannot get involved in providing special services for each…I will not be responding to further correspondence on this matter.”

He probably could have emailed the two scientists in the time he took to reply to McIntyre and the request for the raw data would have had an official imprint, demonstrating a commitment to quality review in the organization. In the event, the two authors refused to provide the data to McIntyre when he contacted them.

He reported this to Susan Solomon, an atmospheric chemist who had a senior role in assembling the 2007 report. In 2008 Time magazine named her as one of the world’s most influential people due to her work on the 2007 Climate Bible.

Solomon’s own response could hardly have been less helpful. IPCC rules, she said, “only oblige the technical support units to provide copies of unpublished papers. The IPCC does not, said Solomon, concern itself with the raw data on which papers – published or otherwise – are based.”

In case that is not strange enough, Solomon then accused McIntyre of behaving improperly. In her view by contacting the journal, as he’d been told to do by the author, McIntyre was interfering with that journal’s internal decisions. She stated that McIntyre had been granted access to the unpublished papers for one purpose only: to read them. She suggested that in seeking more information, he was violating IPCC confidentiality provisions. For this reason he could be struck from the official list of IPCC reviewers. She wrote to McIntyre:

“We must insist that from now on you honor all conditions of access to unpublished, and therefore confidential, material…The IPCC rules…have served the scientific and political communities well for numerous past international assessment rounds. If there is further evidence that you cannot accept them, or if your intent is to challenge them…then we will not be able to continue to treat you as an expert reviewer for the IPCC.”

This entry was posted in Global warming and climate change policy, Rafe. Bookmark the permalink.

12 Responses to Laframboise on the IPCC revisited

  1. jupes

    The good news is that almost 800 people checked out this link after it appeared on the Cat last week and a day or so later in a post on Tim Blair’s blog.

    That’s the good news?

    When you get 800,000 people checking out the link then we may be witnessing the end of this madness.

  2. Leo G

    We must insist that from now on you honor all conditions of access to unpublished, and therefore confidential, material…

    even if, as in this case, the relevant conditions are only revealed after the conditions have been infracted.

  3. MikeS

    It was discovering this a decade ago which turned my then neutral agnosticism to disgusted sceptic. Steve McIntyre’s Climate Audit website will be like a holocaust museum when the sun sets on this ridiculous chapter. I defy anyone to read the account there of the paper by Karoly, Neukom and Gergis and not barf.

  4. Harken Now

    Repent, oh Tasmanian potato farmer!

    Yea thinketh that all wisdom resides in a buxom blogging goldbug from Perth whose husband has been working on his private theory that explains all away for 10 years now?

    Wisdom resides not in the eccentric theoriser unable to prove their case, it resides in the collective!

    Read a list from the Blessed Good Guys of Californi-a (found via NASA, whose site is not – yet – expunged by the operatives of the Golden One) a list of a the international scientific bodies that have endorsed man made climate change. Communists and fools all?:

    Academia Chilena de Ciencias, Chile
    Academia das Ciencias de Lisboa, Portugal
    Academia de Ciencias de la República Dominicana
    Academia de Ciencias Físicas, Matemáticas y Naturales de Venezuela
    Academia de Ciencias Medicas, Fisicas y Naturales de Guatemala
    Academia Mexicana de Ciencias,Mexico
    Academia Nacional de Ciencias de Bolivia
    Academia Nacional de Ciencias del Peru
    Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
    Académie des Sciences, France
    Academies of Arts, Humanities and Sciences of Canada
    Academy of Athens
    Academy of Science of Mozambique
    Academy of Science of South Africa
    Academy of Sciences for the Developing World (TWAS)
    Academy of Sciences Malaysia
    Academy of Sciences of Moldova
    Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
    Academy of Sciences of the Islamic Republic of Iran
    Academy of Scientific Research and Technology, Egypt
    Academy of the Royal Society of New Zealand
    Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Italy
    Africa Centre for Climate and Earth Systems Science
    African Academy of Sciences
    Albanian Academy of Sciences
    Amazon Environmental Research Institute
    American Academy of Pediatrics
    American Anthropological Association
    American Association for the Advancement of Science
    American Association of State Climatologists (AASC)
    American Association of Wildlife Veterinarians
    American Astronomical Society
    American Chemical Society
    American College of Preventive Medicine
    American Fisheries Society
    American Geophysical Union
    American Institute of Biological Sciences
    American Institute of Physics
    American Meteorological Society
    American Physical Society
    American Public Health Association
    American Quaternary Association
    American Society for Microbiology
    American Society of Agronomy
    American Society of Civil Engineers
    American Society of Plant Biologists
    American Statistical Association
    Association of Ecosystem Research Centers
    Australian Academy of Science
    Australian Bureau of Meteorology
    Australian Coral Reef Society
    Australian Institute of Marine Science
    Australian Institute of Physics
    Australian Marine Sciences Association
    Australian Medical Association
    Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Bangladesh Academy of Sciences
    Botanical Society of America
    Brazilian Academy of Sciences
    British Antarctic Survey
    Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
    California Academy of Sciences
    Cameroon Academy of Sciences
    Canadian Association of Physicists
    Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
    Canadian Geophysical Union
    Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Canadian Society of Soil Science
    Canadian Society of Zoologists
    Caribbean Academy of Sciences views
    Center for International Forestry Research
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Colombian Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences
    Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) (Australia)
    Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research
    Croatian Academy of Arts and Sciences
    Crop Science Society of America
    Cuban Academy of Sciences
    Delegation of the Finnish Academies of Science and Letters
    Ecological Society of America
    Ecological Society of Australia
    Environmental Protection Agency
    European Academy of Sciences and Arts
    European Federation of Geologists
    European Geosciences Union
    European Physical Society
    European Science Foundation
    Federation of American Scientists
    French Academy of Sciences
    Geological Society of America
    Geological Society of Australia
    Geological Society of London
    Georgian Academy of Sciences
    German Academy of Natural Scientists Leopoldina
    Ghana Academy of Arts and Sciences
    Indian National Science Academy
    Indonesian Academy of Sciences
    Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management
    Institute of Marine Engineering, Science and Technology
    Institute of Professional Engineers New Zealand
    Institution of Mechanical Engineers, UK
    InterAcademy Council
    International Alliance of Research Universities
    International Arctic Science Committee
    International Association for Great Lakes Research
    International Council for Science
    International Council of Academies of Engineering and Technological Sciences
    International Research Institute for Climate and Society
    International Union for Quaternary Research
    International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
    International Union of Pure and Applied Physics
    Islamic World Academy of Sciences
    Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities
    Kenya National Academy of Sciences
    Korean Academy of Science and Technology
    Kosovo Academy of Sciences and Arts
    l’Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
    Latin American Academy of Sciences
    Latvian Academy of Sciences
    Lithuanian Academy of Sciences
    Madagascar National Academy of Arts, Letters, and Sciences
    Mauritius Academy of Science and Technology
    Montenegrin Academy of Sciences and Arts
    National Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences, Argentina
    National Academy of Sciences of Armenia
    National Academy of Sciences of the Kyrgyz Republic
    National Academy of Sciences, Sri Lanka
    National Academy of Sciences, United States of America
    National Aeronautics and Space Administration
    National Association of Geoscience Teachers
    National Association of State Foresters
    National Center for Atmospheric Research
    National Council of Engineers Australia
    National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, New Zealand
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Research Council
    National Science Foundation
    Natural England
    Natural Environment Research Council, UK
    Natural Science Collections Alliance
    Network of African Science Academies
    New York Academy of Sciences
    Nicaraguan Academy of Sciences
    Nigerian Academy of Sciences
    Norwegian Academy of Sciences and Letters
    Oklahoma Climatological Survey
    Organization of Biological Field Stations
    Pakistan Academy of Sciences
    Palestine Academy for Science and Technology
    Pew Center on Global Climate Change
    Polish Academy of Sciences
    Romanian Academy
    Royal Academies for Science and the Arts of Belgium
    Royal Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences of Spain
    Royal Astronomical Society, UK
    Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters
    Royal Irish Academy
    Royal Meteorological Society (UK)
    Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences
    Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
    Royal Scientific Society of Jordan
    Royal Society of Canada
    Royal Society of Chemistry, UK
    Royal Society of the United Kingdom
    Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
    Russian Academy of Sciences
    Science and Technology, Australia
    Science Council of Japan
    Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research
    Scientific Committee on Solar-Terrestrial Physics
    Scripps Institution of Oceanography
    Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts
    Slovak Academy of Sciences
    Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts
    Society for Ecological Restoration International
    Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
    Society of American Foresters
    Society of Biology (UK)
    Society of Systematic Biologists
    Soil Science Society of America
    Sudan Academy of Sciences
    Sudanese National Academy of Science
    Tanzania Academy of Sciences
    The Wildlife Society (international)
    Turkish Academy of Sciences
    Uganda National Academy of Sciences
    Union of German Academies of Sciences and Humanities
    United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
    Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
    Woods Hole Research Center
    World Association of Zoos and Aquariums
    World Federation of Public Health Associations
    World Forestry Congress
    World Health Organization
    World Meteorological Organization
    Zambia Academy of Sciences
    Zimbabwe Academy of Sciences

    And Catholics and their contribution to science, verily often praised herein, are fully on board too!

    New Declaration from Vatican’s Scientific Body Finds Climate Change Is Existential Threat to Humans and the Earth Unless We Act Fast

    What is happening that the Truth is blind to your eyes?



    Harken Now

  5. Aynsley Kellow

    I was also an Expert Reviewer for AR4 (Working Group II). I was impolite enough to point out that, while the report told us that a warmer world would be a wetter world (indeed, the key positive feedback mechanism requires that there be higher concentrations of water vapour), so there would be increased rainfall – but it seemed to me that none of the increase would fall in a way that would be any way beneficial. It was either floods or drought.
    The defence was that the chapter was dealing with ‘key vulnerabilities’ and therefore did not focus on benefits. My response was that, if this were the case, it should not be referred to as a risk assessment, because an RA must include an assessment of pros and cons.
    I was not invited back.

  6. Rafe Champion

    Not invited back, fancy that, see my comment above under Alan’s post on costs.

    Well done Cats, since this was posted you have outscored The Daily Tele by 58 visits to 7 on the link.

  7. Fat Tony

    It’s never been about the science……

  8. Ian of Brisbane

    So an “independent reviewers” function is limited to a spellcheck?

  9. Leo G

    So an “independent reviewers” function is limited to a spellcheck?

    Except that reference to a dictionary would be seeking more information, and thereby violating IPCC confidentiality provisions.

  10. RobK

    The described behaviour is abominable. It does not deserve any respect. It should carry no weight in any policy. Despicable.

  11. J.H.

    It’s all so…. Soviet, isn’t it?

  12. Herodotus

    The gulags await anyone bold enough to be sceptical about the great moral challenge of our time.

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