Lets be realistic about the election result

The voters in critical seats in Queensland that turned the election in favour of the Coalition were not driven by Christian values, Scomo’s tireless campaigning and his good character, or rejection of big government spending, the Nanny State and redistribution. They were driven by a desire for jobs related to the Adani mine that are under threat from Green Labour. And they turned to Pauline Hanson’s One Nation Party and the Palmer Party as much as they turned to the Liberals. Be thankful for the Tasmanians in north west Tasmania 9my home town) for putting the icing on the cake.

Without that factor malevolence and mendacity would have won and Mitt Romney’s prediction that you can’t beat the 49/50% who like handouts would have come true. Sure, some old folk on Bribie Island were electrified by the franked credits issue, but Chris Bowen might have been safe to (viciously and malevolently) say what he did, how many people getting franked credits are Coalition voters?

So once again, it was a reprieve but we are still on the brink with progressive left identity politics on the rise in the education system where it will do the most long-term damage. The difference between the parties nationwide is razor thin and it is always going to come down to a few seats. By incredible good fortune and a major bungle by Labor the few seats went our way this time. We are yet to see whether the Coalition can do better on the critical issues with less rats in the ranks, especially the King Rat but past performance does not inspire confidence.

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41 Responses to Lets be realistic about the election result

  1. Sometimes a major health scare is all that you need to make you look at your lifestyle choices and change your ways.

  2. And if you want to see why the ‘experts’ still keep getting it wrong, just have a gander at this: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-05-24/scott-morrisons-trump-like-election-victory/11145406.

  3. HP

    Not all the Coalition voters voted that way because “Christian values, Scomo’s tireless campaigning and his good character, or rejection of big government spending, the Nanny State and redistribution” – true.

    Equally, not all Labor voters voted that way because of their agreement with “progressive left identity politics”.

    Look on the bright side. We have good reason to do so. The Lib party room has improved. They have a bigger majority. Tax cuts are on the agenda. Going big on green got rejected so strongly, even Labor heard it this time, it seems.

    Moreover, it’s Friday.
    Life is never perfect. But it’s pretty darn good.:-)

  4. Cameron

    I totally agree. Unless something is done about the whole education system from preschool to the universities then we are doomed in the long term.

    As and example: https://quillette.com/2019/05/22/when-the-authorities-tell-you-to-dissent/
    This is why there is such antagonism to the reintroduction of the study of Western Civilisation into the Universities. This should be a priority issue for ScoMo and his government.

  5. Colonel Crispin Berka

    Decided to brace myself and watch friendlyjordies’ response to the unloseable election result.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DEUnTPMmixE

    He reckons… Liberal coalition voters had voted that way purely because the main information distribution organisations told them to, and not because of any understanding of Liberal party policy. And of course these mainstream media and online channels are supposedly controlled by the banks, mining industry, and Rupert Murdoch. The proof being that “every Prime Minister that Murdoch ever wanted, he got.”
    And “there is no major mainstream outlet that pushes for the Labor case.” And the Liberals also have a terrible record on economic management.
    These are all “facts” that can be gleaned from such reliable sources as The Australia Institute, Alan Austin, and Michael West.

    This was all, obviously, 180° apart from the general Catallaxian view of the world.

    To believe these conclusions, you would have to believe these other foundational falsehoods:
    • The ABC is not mainstream and does not reach a mass audience.
    • That FriendlyJordies is privy to the business preferences of Rupert Murdoch and that this has on several occasions included Labor prime ministers such as Hawke, Keating, and Rudd.
    • That raising taxes (by closing loopholes) is the only way to reduce the national debt.
    • That proving bad things about the Liberal Party absolves Labor of its sin (the Tu Quoque fallacy).
    • That being independent of any corporate brand somehow makes journalists unbiased on politics.
    ..and probably several other inceptions that I can’t explicate.

    Watching is only recommended if you need to get your heart rate up and can’t go for a jog instead.

  6. Roger

    Jackie Trad refusing to rule out a rise in coal royalty rates in next month’s state budget, which could make Adani unviable. She really is a piece of work.

  7. Squirrel

    By the end of this calendar year, we should have a fairly clear picture of whether last Saturday’s result was akin to 1993 and 2004, or – somewhat more optimistically – 1961.

  8. Tom

    Last Saturday, I voted for a leftwing lunatic — one of the Liberal party room that inflicted Malcolm Turnbull on Australia. My vote failed to stop the seat of Corangamite falling to a hack from the Liars, Libby Coker, who defeated the Lieborals’ ex-ABC talking head Sarah Henderson because of an AEC electoral redistribution that allocated more urban welfare moochers to what had previously been mostly a rural seat.
    I can’t stand Sarah Henderson because she was one of the hysterical Lieboral wymmyses who had spent six years giving Malcolm Turnbull a metaphorical head job, culminating in the September 2015 party room coup that installed the corrupt crony capitalist as PM.
    I am thrilled to say my support for Henderson failed as another cancerous Photios leftard has been excised from the parliamentary right. I expect she will now resume her mission as a member of the irrelevant GetUp left, having learnt nothing and contributed even less.
    Good riddance. Fuck off, you brainless airhead. You might as well be an Islamic State terrorist because of the damage you inflicted on Australia.

  9. Tom

    Last Saturday, I voted for a leftwing lunatic — one of the Liberal party room that inflicted Malcolm Turnbull on Australia. My vote failed to stop the seat of Corangamite falling to a hack from the Liars, Libby Coker, who defeated the Lieborals’ ex-ABC talking head Sarah Henderson because of an AEC electoral redistribution that allocated more urban welfare moochers to what had previously been mostly a rural seat.
    I can’t stand Sarah Henderson because she was one of the hysterical Lieboral wymmyses who had spent six years giving Malcolm Turnbull a metaphorical head job, culminating in the September 2015 party room coup that installed the corrupt crony capitalist as PM.
    I am thrilled to say my support for Henderson failed as another cancerous Photios leftard has been excised from the parliamentary right. I expect she will now resume her mission as a member of the irrelevant GetUp left, having learnt nothing and contributed even less.
    Good riddance. Fuck off, you brainless airhead. You might as well be an Balsamic State terrorist (spaminator evasion manoevre) because of the damage you inflicted on Australia.

  10. Tezza

    The Libs were meant to lose everywhere. Instead, Labor lost in Qld, but the Libs didn’t lose as they were forecast to everywhere else. There was a mixture of reasons for that, no doubt. But the high ground issues of higher taxes on savings, ridiculous climate policies, reopened borders, free imports of grandparents by each recent migrant or refugee, wasteful spending, queer gender theory and persecution of religious belief all played some part.
    Dont be too sure Adani was the biggest thing in the election outcome.

  11. Thanks Tom:

    You might as well be an Balsamic State terrorist (spaminator evasion maneuver) because of the damage you inflicted on Australia.

    Snatched and used without accreditation because I can.

  12. Petros

    What do you know, Tezza? Lots of people in Qld are looking forward to Adani opening up. People like the idea of those $100k plus jobs. To prove my point, look at how Palaz chook has suddenly aggitated to get it started.

  13. areff

    Tom: Henderson deserved it. Consider: When Abbott was defending B. Bishop for helicoptering to Geelong, Waffle rode the train down your way to show he would never, ever waste taxpayer money.

    Henderson met him at the station with snappers in tow.

    Now that she’s out of a job, Alex Turnbull’s diapering duties and playtime supervision might keep her employed.

    Oh, and just for the record, B. Bishop voted for Turnbull even though he deliberately humiliated her. She subsequently explained that it wasn’t Abbott so much as Credlin who had to go.

    At a risk of appearing sexist … bitchy, bitchy, bitchy. Girls, can’t you all play nice?

    Anyway, they’re all gone. Good riddance.

  14. Dr Fred Lenin

    Apart from the alpbc,sbs,fauxfacs channels 7,and 10 ,and many radio stations ,all of the media was biased against the gangrenes and liebor comrades with thir inceeant fake news about the truth of the failure. of alp policy ,hate speech like the truth should be banned ,the u.n wouldnt . stand for it

  15. Rohan

    Petros, yes the LNP won big in QLD because of Adani and jobs. But even here in Bolshi Dan’s state of Victoriastan, the LNP didn’t go backwards. And Adani is more or less a non issue here.

    Tezza is right. It was a multitude of issues.

  16. Joanna

    Last Saturday, I voted for a leftwing lunatic — one of the Liberal party room that inflicted Malcolm Turnbull on Australia. 

    I voted for the same lunatic. I’m happy to see the back of her. Backed Turnbull, SSM, climate crap and turned a blue-ribbon seat into a marginal. There was nothing conservative about her. Good riddance.

  17. miltonf

    Yes many (but not all) of the horrors have gone – laundry, pissy crime, trumble, stabby mcstabby etc. Hooray!

  18. Let’s just run through this scenario: (and take into account, please, my propensity to transpose proper nouns and stuff my argument up.)
    Pony Girl has done an about face and is demanding the Adani mine go ahead – something she was trying to frustrate a few days ago.
    Jackie Trad, her deputy, is now refusing to say she won’t raise the tax on coal in the next election, which will derail the Adani Mines costings.
    What the hell is going on?
    Is the mine going to be halted with Pony Girl having plausible deniability for the obstruction?
    Is Jackie trying to depose her boss?
    I can’t work out what is going on.

  19. Amused

    Colonel Crispin Berka
    #3024521, posted on May 24, 2019 at 5:28 pm
    Decided to brace myself and watch friendlyjordies’ response to the unloseable election result.

    Watching is only recommended if you need to get your heart rate up and can’t go for a jog instead.

    This kid has one of the most punchable faces I’ve ever seen. My heart rate rises from the massive ‘fight’ reaction I have whenever I see him.

  20. Roger

    Is Jackie trying to depose her boss?

    She doesn’t have the numbers after Saturday (why, even Palaszczuk may not have the numbers to fight off a Cameron Dick challenge, however unlikely that may be given the unwritten rules that pertain to leadership in the QLD ALP), but she is certainly exhibiting passive aggressive tendencies in the meantime.

  21. Siltstone

    Roger
    #3024536, posted on May 24, 2019 at 5:45 pm
    Jackie Trad refusing to rule out a rise in coal royalty rates in next month’s state budget, which could make Adani unviable. She really is a piece of work.

    I want to see Adani as a viable coal exporter. However, I would not mind seeing a big rise in coal royalties, but only on BHP – as a form of poetical justice. BHP have been threatening the Minerals Council of Australia with retribution if they do not adopt greenie climate change policies. This is the same MCA who saved BHP’s bacon by running a very effective campaign against Swan’s mining super-tax. Proposals for super taxes come and go and the next time one comes for BHP, you and your greenie mates are on you own as far as I am concerned. We should never forget, in Australia, the big end of town is all for Big Government, Big Unions, Big Business.

  22. Roger

    The voters in critical seats in Queensland that turned the election in favour of the Coalition were not driven by Christian values…

    Rafe, I think you’re discounting the impact of the conservative Christian vote.

    It was key to Howard’s success, so much so that Rudd developed a strategy to win it in 2007, which he outlined to an ABC journalist, Steve Austin, at the time in great detail.

    Now that vote has found congenial home with Morrison.

    Why, even erstwhile Labor leadership aspirant Bowen attempted to reach out to Christians immediately post-election. He may not be a great economist, but he’s no fool either.

  23. David

    I don’t think anyone is saying those in favour of the Coalition were driven by Christian values.

    What is arguable is that there is a Christian/Catholic vote that normally breaks for both Labor and the Coalition with some going the fringe: Greens and One Nation.

    What happened this time as the Christian vote broke decisively for the Coalition because of Labor’s threat to faith based schools – employing staff who comply with their faith based convictions around moral values

  24. Roger

    What happened this time as the Christian vote broke decisively for the Coalition because of Labor’s threat to faith based schools – employing staff who comply with their faith based convictions around moral values

    Even more than that, David, the Israel Folau case gave rise to much unease among conservative Christians.

  25. C.L.

    Excellent analysis, Rafe.

  26. ArthurB

    It is true that Labor lost the election, but nothing much seems to have changed at the Australian Bolshevik Collective. I wasted 20 minutes of my life a few days ago watching Teh Dumb, which had Stan Grant as presenter and a panel of five. The first topic was constitutional recognition for Aborigines. Stan and the five didn’t waste any time in discussing whether it was necessary, or justifiable, the conversation was all about how it could be achieved. One panellist declared that tourists visiting Australia would be horrified to learn that Aborigines are not recognised in the constitution. All agreed that a referendum would fail without bipartisan support from the major parties, and Turncoat was criticised for his lack of support.

    Truly, the ABC is a nest of traitors, it will never reform itself, and would resist any attempt by the government to make it less biased. The only option is to defund it.

  27. Nob

    I want to see a successful overnight bid for Bananas in Pyjamas by News Corp, and I want to see it by next Friday.

  28. Lilliana

    Agree with Tezza.

    My Queensland friends put Labor last because of immigration, open borders, spending and PC madness. Adani wasn’t an issue at all. My friends here, who admit to voting liberal, did so because they don’t want higher taxes and don’t care for Labor’s socialist policies. For me it was immigration and education. If the Liberals don’t stop the “progressive” indoctrination in through the education system then we are doomed. The left are playing the long game – we have won the battle but not the war.

  29. Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare

    Sterling work there, Rafe, injecting a useful caution into over-egging this Coalition win. There is still much to be done to raise those figures beyond the 50-50 zeitgeist tussle; without the Qld and Tassie turnabouts the win would have been less, or not at all. As more than a few commenters here and on Sky are now saying, the education system is at the heart of making brainwashed climatic loons and culturally-illiterate fools of the upcoming generation. Big changes are needed there, from the top down, and also in the rest of the Gramsci’d institutional structure.

    Cleaning out the various leftist strongholds in the media arts too would be a start. The Australia Council comes to mind: quit funding only leftist items (in plays, in small magazines, in awards, in books, in painting and sculpture, in design – cut the ‘eco’ requirements etc) and open up opportunities for young people in areas where now they have to be left-wing to get noticed. Pulling the financial rug on the various ‘climate’ quangos is very necessary too. Funding a ‘teaching guide’ to accurate climate information from various perspectives on the issue would be useful too; also deeming ‘climate matters’ to be irrelevant for teaching primary schooler children, and having high school children undeceived about resource ‘sustainability’ and climatic ’emergency’ by giving them far more tempered assessments of any possible threat.

  30. tgs

    Don’t let a crisis distract you from the crisis on the horizon. Siege mentality etc etc.

    Respect you Rafe and there’s a big nugget of truth in this post just bein a contrarian asshole as is my nature.

  31. Citation Required

    Rafe, I am stunned by your arrogant dismissal of a million hard working Aussies who saved for their retirement and rely on franking credits for their meager discretionsry income.
    How many vote coalition? All except inner-city rich.
    You are no better than the people that you criticise.
    FU Sir. May a Cocky despoil your putrid mouth.

  32. Bad Samaritan

    This was a major whipping. Major……

    Leftists already had 15-20 seats in their backpockets last Saturday morning….and by 8PM (eastern time) they had none, and they were also missing ten more from the front pocket as well.

    This is not just a reprieve.it is an absolute repudiation and renunciation of evil leftism (yeah, I know it’s an oxy-moron). Santa Shorten and Tooth-Fairy Tanya are consigned to the dustbins of history.

    Good riddance to the pie-throwing dimwit, and to Plibbers and her drug-dealer darling hubby. Seriously, what normal person would want corrupt sleazebags like these in their private, or their public, lives? FFS!

  33. egg_

    Deplorables who wanted to keep their jerbs held their noses and voted for Labor Lite?
    Quelle surprise!

  34. egg_

    Seriously, what normal person would want corrupt sleazebags like these in their private, or their public, lives?

    “The dregs of the middle class”?

  35. Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare

    The first topic was constitutional recognition for Aborigines. Stan and the five didn’t waste any time in discussing whether it was necessary, or justifiable, the conversation was all about how it could be achieved.

    Agenda-setting. This is exactly the sort of thing that the Coalition has to strongly counter.
    This sort of implicit bias is everywhere in public discourse and in corporations too.

  36. Twostix

    The christian thing absolutely was a factor here. Not the one factor but the one that frightened a lot of people.

    Nobody here knows what franking credit is we all just heard a low drone of taxes, taxes, taxes.

    Nobody here cares about Adani per se but they do care about industry and miners, hate greens and were not going to let the likes of those convoy of poofy victorian wankers run the show. (Thanks Bob!).

    The Foleau thing coupled with Shorten going all Bolshevik regarding Morrison and his beliefs about poofs was like a lightening rod for a lot of people.

  37. win

    For what it’s worth.For me the death of Bob Hawke resurrected the sleepless night I had when he and Keating were elected.We were on an economic boom and Keating delivered the recession we had to have in the redistribution of wealth. For those of us who lived through the petty spite and vindictivnous and remembered we saw the writing was on the wall with Shirten.

  38. Twostix

    The one thing that is certain though, is that this seat vited for Abbott, voted against Turnbull twice then voted for Morrison.

    Turnbullians owe the country an apology. They used their privileged positions in and near the halls of power to stage a naked and ugly coup in the vanity driven beleif that they (a group of about 500 backroom men, jounalists and academics ) knew better than the people here.

  39. Up The Workers!

    It is interesting to note that once again, in keeping with decades of tradition, the A.L.P. maintains its unbroken record as the Party of choice, of the stupidest people in all Australia.

    Early counting for the award for “Dumbest Electorate in the Nation” goes to the NSW Electorate of Blaxland, held by A.L.P.’s Jason Clare, where the record-breaking Informal vote currently stands at 13.61% of all votes cast.

    This record is more than 700% higher than the Nation’s smartest electorate of Higgins in Victoria, (Kelly O’Dwyer, Liberal) where the Informal vote is the Nations’ lowest at 1.91%.

    The National Informal Vote stands at 5.44 % so far, meaning that the A.L.P. vote could potentially have been greater than it is, if those 5.44 % of voters who voted Informal had been intelligent enough to cast valid votes – BUT the “Catch 22” there, is that if they ever improbably had more intelligence than they have now, chances are that they would never have been silly enough to have pissed their ballot up against a wall in unsuccessfully attempting to vote Labor(sic) in the first instance.

    Some 14 of the 20 dumbest electorates in the Nation are all held by Labor(sic) candidates.

    Not surprising really.

    Who in their right mind would vote for a Party so dumb that it mis-spells its own name despite having had 100 years in which to get it right. The fact that 6 of the 20 dumbest electorates in the Nation are held by the Liberals and Nationals, is probably accounted for by strong representation from Labor’s “Vote-early-and-vote-Often” brigade of maggoty cadaverous voters, rounded up from the local boneyards and crematoria.

    The Blaxland electorate is almost verging on “Unflushable Brown Movement”-levels of stupidity. Any dumber and they’d be calling on Richard the III and Sarah Halfwit-Bung to go and elevate their aggregate I.Q. into double figures.

  40. Twostix

    They could also be rotten boroughs worker and some of that 13% could be liberal votes.

    I was just looking at the polling data for my electorate and thinking the should scan and make publicly available all informal votes for public inspection.

  41. John Smith101

    Could not agree more with the comments about education. As teacher-directed learning was slowly replaced with 21st century learning (or common core) over the past few decades we now have a body of teachers and educators that favour communal ethics over individual thought. This suggests to me that public education is being replaced with state-controlled education whereby students are primed to become activist agents of change (witness the child climate protests of late).

    Once upon a time students asking questions was an intrinsic part of education. Therein experienced teachers were the guardians of the prevailing wisdom while students could challenge the prevailing order with new ideas or viewpoints – it was even encouraged! Nowadays, especially in the universities, free thinking and new ideas that challenge the new elites of experts have to operate within an indoctrinated environment that sees factual knowledge itself as ‘elitist’ or ‘privileged’, a result of the implication derived from critical theory that there is no objective knowledge, only conflicting discourses. Besides the absurdity of such a notion – gravity does not really suck, guys – there is the real danger that such simplistic and controlling ideas will become, if they have not already, unassailable pieties. This means that some ideas are put beyond debate – they become a dogma that must not be questioned. Again, witness the stridency of climate change believers.

    Schools and universities were once places of education and scholarship, nowadays, especially in the humanities, they have become places of indoctrination. Try to express a view outside of the ‘narrative’ and you will be damned forever by the terminally triggered. From the mouthpiece of Sauron came the parrots of propaganda, where activism has replaced scholarship. The real danger herein is the potential that students will outsource their thinking to the point where they cannot ask questions without upsetting the narrative or the collaborative applecart.

    Ignorance and pride are such a deadly combination. This will not end well.

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