Climate Roundup 12 Sept

Germany approaching recession? What do you expect when the power prices double in a major industrial country. FWIW Australia is slightly better situated to survive such a blow.

ANOTHER UPDATE. Must watch, a gripping short account of the recent volcanic event in Russia that will guarantee a brutal northern winter this year. Also a lucid summary of the demolition of Michael Mann’s fraudulent hockey stick and the libel case that he launched against the skeptic Tim Ball that was thrown out of the Supreme Court in British Columbia last week with all costs awarded to Ball. Plus a brilliant visual display of the mixing of the ocean currents that destroys the idea that an average global temperature has any precise meaning.

UPDATE Jo Nova on the absurdity of more wind from Robbins Island in Bass Straight when we already have too much.

Sun and Wind Power irrelevant now and still the same in 2040.

This display shows how little the expensive windmills and solar contribute to the energy consumption of the world.

Somewhere there is a directly comparable display for 2040. The charts in this report tell the same story with a modest increase in the contribution of sun and wind two decades hence. There are several options to look at including the scenario for CO2 emissions and the demand for oil.

Green loonies meet their match in Poland.

For several hours on Monday, activists on the Rainbow Warrior and in smaller boats blocked a shipment of coal from Mozambique tp Gdansk. They painted “Stop Coal,” ”Poland Beyond Coal 2030,” and “No Future in Coal’ on the ship’s side.

Video footage from Greenpeace showed the armed guards breaking a window to get into the captain’s bridge on the Rainbow Warrior, a tall sailing ship, and shouting that everyone should drop to the floor. The boarding occurred about 11 p.m. Monday.

Marek Jozefiak of Greenpeace said the ship’s captain and one activist remained detained Tuesday, along with the ship. Jozefiak, the coordinator of Greenpeace’s Climate and Energy campaign in Poland, expressed surprise at vehemence of the border guards’ actions against what he called a “peaceful action in defense of the environment.”

So what are the authorities supposed to do? Polish border authorities said the boarding took place after the Rainbow Warriors’ captain repeatedly refused requests to let border guards come aboard.

The head of the WMO (world meteorological organization) tells doomsday climate extremists to put a sock in it.

Talaas said that establishment meteorological scientists are under increasing assault from radical climate alarmists who are attempting to move the mainstream scientific community in a radical direction. He expressed specific concern with some of the solutions promoted by climate alarmists, including calls for couples to have no more children.

“While climate skepticism has become less of an issue, now we are being challenged from the other side. Climate experts have been attacked by these people and they claim that we should be much more radical. They are doomsters and extremists. They make threats,” Taalas said.

Celebrations are premature despite the excitement of Benny Peiser of the Global Warming Policy Foundation because Mr Talaas is no skeptic.

Jennifer Marohasy on the Great Barrier Reef.

I’ve spent the last 10 days snorkelling, paddle boarding, and droning over the coral reefs of the northern and southern Whitsundays. We started at Horseshoe bay that is right in Bowen township … in fact there is a coffee shop within perhaps 250 metres of the southern headland where there are a great diversity of colourful corals growing on the granite, and there is a lifeguard.

I was surprised to see such colourful, healthy corals straight-off the beach and so accessible from the mainland/a north Queensland town. A family can train/bus/drive to this local beach at Bowen and go snorkelling and find many of the corals found throughout the Great Barrier Reef. Indeed, the bays and headlands around Bowen offer an opportunity for anyone to see corals, without spending a lot of money.

Problems in RE Paradise. Marginal loss factors are biting and assets risk becoming stranded.

The emerging grid constraints in Australia’s main grid and the changes in so-called “marginal loss factors” has taken its toll on one of the biggest investors in Australia renewable energy projects, which has put further investments in the country on hold.

The UK-based infrastructure investor John Laing has reported a write down of £66 million ($A120 million) on three of its renewable energy projects under construction as a result of changes in marginal loss factors – a calculation of how much on a generator’s output is credited by the market operator.

MLFs have been written down extensively in the last two years as a result of the number of new wind and solar farms that have been built in certain parts of the grid. the worst affected have been in north Queensland, but south west NSW and north west Victoria have also been badly affected.

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29 Responses to Climate Roundup 12 Sept

  1. Tintarella di Luna

    Thank you Rafe, that Polish piece has cheered me up no end, it has not been the best of days. Cheers

  2. “While climate skepticism has become less of an issue, now we are being challenged from the other side. Climate experts have been attacked by these people and they claim that we should be much more radical. They are doomsters and extremists. They make threats,” Taalas said.

    Sooner or later the Left will always start to eat their own.

  3. Leo G

    Jozefiak … expressed surprise at vehemence of the border guards’ actions against what he called a “peaceful action in defense of the environment.”

    Violating seafaring safety regulations with a forceful obstruction of a cargo ship at its destination port is not a peaceful action.

  4. B.A.Lert

    15 year old son comes home from school today and tells me that geography is now all about global warming and he goes to a bloody catholic school. In the eighties the teachers union was all obsessed with nuclear doom now its climate doom.

  5. Rex Mango

    Climate loons are going to the barricades because they don’t want punters to realise the temperature is not rising. Like Napoleon’s Old Guard at Waterloo making one final assault, they will be difficult to resist, but when they are finally turned back, it will soon become a rout. The high ground must be held.

  6. Arky

    MLFs have been written down extensively

    ..
    Say what you like about climate, but once you start attacking the MILFs, Sir, you go too far.

  7. Arky

    This is why there is an open thread, isn’t it? To keep me out of here.
    Sorry.

  8. sfw

    Trouble with MILFS is that their ‘Best Before’ date isn’t far ahead.

  9. Fat Tony

    Climate Roundup to MILFS – amazing

  10. pbw

    Tintarella,

    Need more cheering up? Breakfast at Tiffany’s is streaming on SBS.

  11. Nob

    Green activists are as unimportant as the Twittersphere and can be as safely ignored once governments and companies wake up and wise up.

  12. RobK

    Problems in RE Paradise. Marginal loss factors are biting and assets risk becoming stranded.
    This was always going to be a problem with a distributed grid. Many papers written on it over the past decade or more. Part of the hidden cost of increasing RE. Curtailment will increase with more RE too. Only subsidies will keep that particular dream alive.

  13. Mark M

    One year to go …
    SEPTEMBER 5, 2012: Enjoy snow now . . . by 2020, it’ll be gone
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/enjoy-snow-now-by-2020-itll-be-gone/news-story/c70cba34e51fa503ada7dff8899042db

    When will it next snow in Australia?
    “Snow is next forecast to fall in Australia on Monday 16th September 2019, in at least 9 Ski Resorts including Hotham, Mount Baw Baw, Mount Buller, Perisher and Thredbo.”
    https://www.j2ski.com/snow_forecast/Australia/

    Unfortunately for Australia, the green hoax of failed ‘science’won’t stop in a year.

  14. Biota

    Following from MarkM snow comment. Up until this ski season each evening news weather segment would have a ski/snow report. This year I have seen none. It is like the snow fields don’t exist, yet my neighbours have spent a week there skiing recently. Surely this has just been an oversight. The other thing I notice is on Newcastle Ch9 news our weather man Gav always refers to temperatures getting hotter when they are approaching 30 deg. It’s like he’s following orders.

  15. sfw

    Falls has having an average snow season, there was an early fall in June which got everyone excited but the season really didn’t get underway till mid July. Since then it has been pretty good. There’s enough to run till October and if you’re keen you could walk and ski till maybe November.

    Vail Resorts just bought Falls and Hotham, maybe they weren’t told this is the last season ever in Australia.

    I remember a season in the early 80’s with almost no snow, a mate was Buller that season and has never drunk so much in his life. In mid August the bowl in Falls had no snow,nothing and there was just a bit of dirty brown snow in Sun Valley.

  16. Mark A

    It is theoretically possible to have a power system relying on wind and solar exclusively.
    Given enough storage and enough wind and solar to fill it up.

    How much it will cost and will it be viable is the question.

  17. LBLoveday

    Looks like the same Rainbow Warrior that was in Bali for 4 days last year, with the 20 crew living “the life of Riley”. Their “tall sailing ship” took on 110,000 litres of diesel while the crew were chauffeured around in petrol-guzzling cars.

    Their presence and purpose in Bali was particularly galling as 5-10% of Balinese don’t have access to electricity, there are occasional power-outs, the population is increasing and the government is planning for (counting on?) an increase in tourism, so the construction of 2×330 MW coal-burning electricity generation plants has been approved, but Greenpeace has taken court action to try to prevent the construction. Much of Bali’s electricity is currently supplied via a connector from Java.

    The locals are being told that “the Celukan Bawang coal burning power plant represents a major threat to the continuing survival of the human race”. Seriously, verbatim quote, all 7.5billion of us gone because of 660MW generation! Use solar instead they scream as their ship is refuelled with 110,000 litres of diesel.

    The Balinese don’t aspire to do as Greenpeace personnel and donors do – flit around the world in planes, stay in air-conditioned hotels, sail the seven seas in pirate ships or drive around in Teslas; just having electric lights rather than oil lamps for their kids to read/play under, a communal TV, even a small fridge so they don’t have to buy food every day and even be able to give the kids milk as a treat; solar won’t provide that. And somewhere down the track, maybe even a mobile phone and an internet connection.

  18. “I hate Greenpeace as much as I hate the Illinois Nazis.” [Jake and Elwood]

  19. Nob

    A link in an email from the London Review of Books led me to this remarkable piece:
    Green and White Nationalists

    Slowly dawning on them that ecologists are fascists but still flailing around in the general direction of a largely imaginary white supremacist alt+right.

    Elsewhere in the magazine, a lament that Bolsonaro’s attacker didn’t succeed in murdering him!

    And to think I’d scrolled over these links for years thinking it was a harmless book review site. Totally captured by the loony green left.

  20. Catfeesh

    I remember a season in the early 80’s with almost no snow, a mate was Buller that season and has never drunk so much in his life. In mid August the bowl in Falls had no snow,nothing and there was just a bit of dirty brown snow in Sun Valley.

    That would have been 1982. After a mammoth season in 1981 where rather than going up steps to get in to lodges you had to go down a flight of snow steps to get down to them.

    You’re right about this year being just average. My crusty old father 40 years ago used to reckon that you didn’t expect to be skiing on natural snow until the second week of July, anything earlier was a bonus.

  21. mem

    Seems to me that the situation in Britain regarding solar panels will transfer here very shortly. Here is an excerpt from an article which appeared in https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Solar-Energy/Brits-Indebted-On-False-Solar-Promises.html

    “Solar panels: Thousands of customers complain” the BBC proclaimed in bold font this week, heading a groundbreaking report on the much dimmer reality for those solar adopters on the ground in the United Kingdom. The basis of the complaint is that customers who purchased solar panels were promised substantial returns by solar companies and their sales reps, but so far those returns have not been delivered, causing financial strife for the many people that took out loans to invest in what they thought was a safe investment with guaranteed returns.

    The International Network of Financial Services Ombudsman Schemes (INFO Network), a worldwide watchdog agency that provides oversight of government activity and investigates consumer complaints, has received thousands of complaints from disgruntled solar panel owners. The Financial Ombudsman Service’s Debbie Enever, from the Financial Ombudsman Service told the BBC, “We have got about 2,000 complaints about solar panels at the moment and more coming through every week.” Furthermore, according to the BBC’s reporting, “Barclays Bank has put aside £38m to deal with potential claims.”

    I wonder if our Australian banks are ready to deal with potential claims here?

  22. DD

    #3154518, posted on September 13, 2019 at 7:40 am

    It is theoretically possible to have a power system relying on wind and solar exclusively.
    Given enough storage and enough wind and solar to fill it up.

    How much it will cost and will it be viable is the question

    Is this sarcasm?
    Or, do you really not understand the meaning of exclusively?

  23. Tel

    A link in an email from the London Review of Books led me to this remarkable piece:
    Green and White Nationalists

    Slowly dawning on them that ecologists are fascists but still flailing around in the general direction of a largely imaginary white supremacist alt+right.

    Thing is, if you genuinely believe that the Earth is limited at a certain fixed population, the only rational conclusion from that is a zero-sum game that requires you to clobber the other guy in order to get ahead. The best way to clobber the other guy is to get a big gang together and that’s the way your basic big government socialists view the world.

    The only path to an alternative conclusion is via technological improvement and making room for a growing population.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_Guidestones

    Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature.

    There’s ethno-fascism and eugenics carved in stone right there. Strangely you won’t hear too many lefties demanding they get torn down like a Civil War remembrance statue.

  24. mem

    This report shines a light on statistics for heat and cold related deaths including statistics for Australia. Our policy makers need to be held to account. The introduction of renewable energy has forced up prices to the extent that many among us are experiencing energy poverty which is costing lives and creating a public health concern. And all to line the pockets of renewable subsidy harvesters and to appease the green nihilists.
    New Studies: Cold-Temperature Deaths Rising And 10-20 Times More Common Than Heat-Related Deaths
    By Kenneth Richard on 12. September 2019
    https://notrickszone.com/2019/09/12/new-studies-cold-temperature-deaths-rising-and-10-20-times-more-common-than-heat-related-deaths/

  25. Mem — that was that large lancet study on 74 million people worldwide.

    A specific Australian study shows that even in our hot climate six times as many people die of cold as die of heat.
    http://joannenova.com.au/2018/10/despite-record-heat-six-times-as-many-people-die-of-cold-in-australia-not-heat/

  26. Bruce of Newcastle

    Lots of cold predicted for the northern winter:

    Old Farmer’s Almanac Predicts “Snow-verload” Winter Across Much Of US (10 Sep)

    And in Europe too:

    UK weather alert: ‘Beast from East’ warning as Britain braces for coldest winter in YEARS (8 Sep)

    Interesting that they can now make such predictions despite the global warming mafia, whose stocks seem to’ve slid somewhat recently. Maybe that’s why they’ve been getting so hysterical.

  27. Lee

    Jozefiak … expressed surprise at vehemence of the border guards’ actions against what he called a “peaceful action in defense of the environment.”

    Violating seafaring safety regulations with a forceful obstruction of a cargo ship at its destination port is not a peaceful action.

    The rest of us should go in to greenies/eco-fascists/vegan-fascists homes (of course, none of them would actually own a business) and disrupt their lives.

    Of course, in their minds that would be different – as then it’s all about their property and right to privacy.

  28. Kurt

    Just got back after 2.5 years in Russia. I was at a Winter camp just outside Moscow a couple of years ago. A father was playing with his toddler in the snow. He looked up at a thermometer reading on the side of the recreation building, looked at his son, pointed and laughed. It said – 31°C. Don’t worry about the Russians and a cold winter. They have cheap abundant energy. No one will go cold.

  29. John A

    mem #3154595, posted on September 13, 2019, at 9:27 am

    “Solar panels: Thousands of customers complain” the BBC proclaimed in bold font this week, heading a groundbreaking report on the much dimmer reality for those solar adopters on the ground in the United Kingdom. The basis of the complaint is that customers who purchased solar panels were promised substantial returns by solar companies and their sales reps, but so far those returns have not been delivered, causing financial strife for the many people that took out loans to invest in what they thought was a safe investment with guaranteed returns.

    Yeah, right!!

    Wanna buy a bridge, mate?

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