‘Cheer up!’ they said, ‘things could be worse.’

So we cheered up, and sure enough things did get worse.

That was a favourite saying of my late friend Tony, a great drinking and travelling companion. It often came to mind in recent decades, possibly first when I tried to explain to people what was happening in the universities in the 1970s and 1980s. I found it impossible to convey the absurdity of so much course content, and that was a lifetime ago for most of the people who are alive today. The process of radicalization in some faculties happened very quickly between about 1968 and 1973 so students arriving in the 1970s could not believe that faux Marxism was not the prevailing tone in the 1960s when I firs arrived on campus. Admittedly that was in Tasmania and we might have lagged in the transformation.

Ever since I got into the climate debate circa 2011 we thought the turning point was at hand. We were winning! The late Bob Carter thought we had won by the time he died. And so on. The victories of Trump and Morrison looked like a potential turning point, at least in the tide of electoral opinion. Adults like to have jobs and they pay the power bills.

But there is another constituency and that has been mobilized in a matter of months with the aid of social media and of course the usual suspects in the MSM. So can things still get worse? The leaders of the child crusade are determined to make things worse.

Thoughts from the still living treasure Don Aitkin. The Conversation that Isn’t. Can we expect people like this to emerge from the modern academies in the way that we would have expected not long ago?

It seemed a good idea for a while, but before long it became clear to me that only some academics were to be favoured, while the editorial tendency was very much to the current Left-leaning orthodoxy. Nowhere was this tendency more obvious that in the area of ‘global warming’, or as it later became, ‘climate change’. I thought some of the stuff that was being published was so biased that I wrote my own temperate essay, pointing out the uncertainties in the whole climate change scenario. It was rejected, on the ground that I was not an expert in this field. I responded that no single person could be an expert in the field, which was a vast one, that many of the essays that had been published had little scientific background, and that I had published in the field myself.

I received a dismissive reply, and gave up, finally ceasing to read anything in the website unless it was directly of interest to me. I avoided all essays on climate change until a few days ago, when the opening lines were so striking that they had to be nonsense.

The view in Germany. Hovering on the brink of recession and mayhem.

After having met some 19 hours in a “Climate Cabinet” meeting, the suspense ended yesterday as Chancellor Merkel’s government compromised and announced its long-awaited bold plan. The promised “act of immense strength” plan, however, turned out to be every thing but, and is light years away from what the FFF movement and climate cultists had been demanding.

Though the package promises more economic hardship and environmental destruction, the country at least as put off its economic death leap – for the time being.

The German plan forsees higher fuel prices for consumers, 10 million electric cars by 2030, a network of one million charging stations, an air traffic tax, cheaper train tickets, and more solar panels and wind turbines.

The Greens reacted to Merkel’s timid plan with outrage. For example, green lobbyist Volker Quaschning tweeted he couldn’t eat as much as he’d “like to vomit” and that it’s “a black day for the climate”.

FFF German activist Luisa “Longhaul” Neuerbauer retweeted Quaschning’s comment. Many activists are stunned and speechless by the timidity of Merkel’s 100-billion euro climate plan.

Like the 1930s?

Zajonc also added that feasibility is being replaced by ideology, and anything that disagrees is getting labelled “criminal and so must be outlawed”.

Anyone expressing common sense is getting labeled “an enemy of the environment, a denier, someone who needs to be morally punished”.

Zajonc summarizes: “Freedom, democracy, liberal thought – all of it being sacrificed .. […] and everyone is enthusiastically cheering it on. What a development.”

A handy survey of the resources for power in Africa.
700 million Africans have no reliable electricity. What is to be done in view of the formidable disadvantages of the continent. Apart from South Africa most of the nations have no coal, oil or natural gas. Hydro is almost out of the question for most of the continent due to topography and unreliable rainfall. Don’t mention the sun and the wind. The answer is nuclear, SMR – Small Modular reactors. They are only 10% the size of large traditional reactors and so they are cheaper. Most important, they are not water cooled, they can be located anywhere and they can decentralized to minimize the need for long-distance transmission lines.

Contrary to the claims of our loony Greens they are cost-effective considering the life cycle cost. They can be designed to last for 60-80 years compared with the 15-20 years for windmills and solar panels.

This entry was posted in Global warming and climate change policy, Rafe. Bookmark the permalink.

19 Responses to ‘Cheer up!’ they said, ‘things could be worse.’

  1. Problem for Merkel is the German auto executives are pressuring her about energy prices. They are telling her the industry may never recover if she pushes harder and faster than the Asians and Americans.

    I have zero sympathy for anybody still living in Germany. A good solid dose of depression (economic and psychological) will do the krauts some good. The World has had enough of the problems Germany has inflicted upon it for over 100 years now.

  2. Baa Humbug:

    A good solid dose of depression (economic and psychological) will do the krauts some good. The World has had enough of the problems Germany has inflicted upon it for over 100 years now.

    I hope not.
    The last bout of economic and psychological depression the Germans went through brought Europe to its knees.

  3. Rex Mango

    My prefered method of fighting back is to ridicule climate change as often as possible when around fellow workers. If anything at all goes wrong in the office, make some quip blaming global warming.

  4. I_am_not_a_robot

    It’s just a teeny craze admittedly endorsed by their teachers many of whom are adults that never left school.
    There is a positive in these kiddie demos, it forces adult alarmists to face the results of their reckless rhetoric and many are becoming embarrassed by the hysteria.
    It also forces adults who may have been noncommittal to realise the craziness of even modest emissions reduction let alone the zero-emissions target.

  5. stackja

    Winston Smith
    #3164823, posted on September 23, 2019 at 1:33 pm

    1949 Konrad Adenauer.

  6. Russell

    “… make some quip blaming global warming”
    Best to say that you just read that “scientists” had just released a paper that concludes that *insert(what ever has gone wrong) has been linked to AGW.
    That way, in the big picture, you help pressurize real scientists to stand up for their profession rather than being silent when they know the activistists have trashed their credibility.
    And we’re still waiting for Their ABC to use Utopia episode to help with this cause – guess they haven’t been enough Ita-ized yet.

  7. I_am_not_a_robot

    It was rejected, on the ground that I was not an expert …

    Neither am I but I can usually spot dodgy CC™ reasoning:
    Argument from ignorance: global average temperature has increased since 1950 due to human emissions, what else could be the cause? (The GAT actually went down 1950 – 1970)
    Appeal to authority: 97% of scientists endorse CAGW.
    Ad Hominem: climate ‘deniers’ = holocaust deniers.
    Appeal to emotion: think of the children.
    Appeal to pity: ‘climate refugees’, victims of natural disasters, Greta Thunberg.
    Appeal to force: climate ‘deniers’ ought be jailed.
    Equivocation + ambiguity: smog = ‘carbon pollution’.
    Apriorism: refusal to consider natural factors (similar to argument from ignorance).
    Argument to the point of disgust: e.g. the ABC never stops.
    Circular Argument: climate models simply affirm what the modeller assumed.
    Confusion of Cause and Effect: Al Gore’s ice age graph in Inconvenient Truth, the rise in temperature actually preceded the rise in CO2 by ~ 800 years.
    Confusion Of A Necessary With A Sufficient Condition: increasing CO2 is a sufficient cause of increasing T but not a necessary cause as history shows.
    Fake Precision: a supposed global surface temperature record from 1850.
    Faulty Analogy: CO2 = tobacco smoke.
    Fallacy of Moderation: Malcolm Turnbull position, take the sensible centre (in CC™ there is no ‘sensible centre’).
    Hasty Generalisation: forty years of reliable temperature data (UAH) is inadequate to come to any firm climate conclusions.
    Loaded or Complex Question: costs and benefits (as Bjorn Lomborg) never considered.
    Post hoc ergo propter hoc: emissions go up then temperature goes up therefore emissions are the sole cause.
    Playing to the Gallery: Leonardo DiCaprio (et al.).
    Special Pleading: Emma Thompson (et al.) has to fly for work.
    Straw Man: IPCC model prediction doubters are science ‘deniers’ when many highly credentialed scientists doubt the assumed climate sensitivity.
    Wishful Thinking: renewable and battery development will accelerate.
    There are more, I’m sure.

  8. notafan

    My prefered method of fighting back is to ridicule climate change as often as possible when around fellow workers. If anything at all goes wrong in the office, make some quip blaming global warming.

    exactly

    whenever it is unseasonably cold I blame global warming

  9. Dr Fred Lenin

    Some of you guys are not up with the latest jargon,it is not global warming now , Its climate catastrophe ,or climate crisis if you want more taxpayers money , global warming was dropped when it wasnt warming but getting colder ,still the alpbc said today the temp had risen 1.5 degrees didnt say where or when, probably a UN press release to get more funds ,its all about themoney you know ,like most politics today .

  10. PB

    Africans looking after nuclear reactors. That should end well, and probably quickly.

  11. Iampeter

    Contrary to the claims of our loony Greens they are cost-effective considering the life cycle cost.

    Woah, woah, you kiss your John Howard with that mouth?

  12. Fair shake of the Sauce bottle

    Had dinner with a German work colleague a few weeks ago. We got onto politics and judging the book by the cover assumed the conversation would vere an awkward left. I was pleasantly surprised when it did not. In his words on climate, borders and Merkel, ‘these have all proved Germany is not a democracy. All his friends and associates vote conservative.’

  13. Mak Siccar

    An excellent article in Quadrant Online. An extract follows:

    A Climate Modeller Spills the Beans
    23rd September 2019 Comments (5)

    Tony Thomas
    There’s a top-level oceanographer and meteorologist who is prepared to cry “Nonsense!”on the “global warming crisis” evident to climate modellers but not in the real world. He’s as well or better qualified than the modellers he criticises — the ones whose Year 2100 forebodings of 4degC warming have set the world to spending $US1.5 trillion a year to combat CO2 emissions.

    The iconoclast is Dr. Mototaka Nakamura. In June he put out a small book in Japanese on “the sorry state of climate science”. It’s titled Confessions of a climate scientist: the global warming hypothesis is an unproven hypothesis, and he is very much qualified to take a stand. From 1990 to 2014 he worked on cloud dynamics and forces mixing atmospheric and ocean flows on medium to planetary scales. His bases were MIT (for a Doctor of Science in meteorology), Georgia Institute of Technology, Goddard Space Flight Centre, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Duke and Hawaii Universities and the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology. He’s published about 20 climate papers on fluid dynamics.[i]

    https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2019/09/a-climate-modeller-spills-the-beans/

  14. John Bayley

    In his words on climate, borders and Merkel, ‘these have all proved Germany is not a democracy.

    To the contrary – they have very much proved that Germany IS a democracy!
    Didn’t the voters return Merkel at al at their most recent election?

  15. jo

    Sorry clicked too soon. It could have been worse but it wasn’t

  16. Beachcomber

    Didn’t the voters return Merkel at al at their most recent election?

    The media and internet censorship make it seem like there is no alternative to Merkel. They don’t have a Trump to challenge the Green Marxist establishment.

  17. Tel

    A good solid dose of depression (economic and psychological) will do the krauts some good.

    Seems unlikely when you consider that nothing else has done.

    These are the people who [A] invented Antifa as an offshoot to the Communist Party (KPD) designed to primarily punish people for turning towards the more moderate Social Democratic Party, and [B] still love Antifa today and openly wear their shirts, etc, and [C] will look you in the face and say it has nothing to do with Communism.

  18. Yohan

    Ever since I got into the climate debate circa 2011 we thought the turning point was at hand. We were winning! The late Bob Carter thought we had won by the time he died. And so on. The victories of Trump and Morrison looked like a potential turning point, at least in the tide of electoral opinion. Adults like to have jobs and they pay the power bills.

    Rafe, do you know why this climate rubbish has all come back? Its because the average person uses climate catastrophism as a proxy for the foreboding they have about their future IN GENERAL.

    The average person has an unease about the direction of society but cannot put a finger on what it is. Almost all young people have no hope for the future, no hope for owning a house, or having a family, or having a better life than their parents.

    The media shouts down the obvious causes, which are demographic replacement by cultural and racial foreigners, globalist outsourcing destroying the working class, fiat printing home prices bubble e.t.c

    The young don’t have any access to these explanations on normal media, so their fear and felt unease gets channeled into “the world is ending”. And for them it certainly is.

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