So we didn’t hit peak stupid last year

Worse was to come. Jo Nova flags a disturbing study that suggests we might lose half the species on earth in the next 50 years. 

The research notes that if temperatures rise 0.5 degrees Celsius around the globe, approximately half of the world’s species would become locally extinct. If temperatures were to rise 2.9 degrees Celsius, 95 percent of the species would become locally extinct.

“In a way, it’s a ‘choose your own adventure,'” one of the study’s authors, John Wiens, said in a statement. “If we stick to the Paris Agreement to combat climate change, we may lose fewer than two out of every 10 plant and animal species on Earth by 2070. But if humans cause larger temperature increases, we could lose more than a third or even half of all animal and plant species, based on our results.”

This is the primary document. The most disturbing thing is that it was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States.

Jo Nova’s commentaryLife on Earth mostly made it through 500 million years of asteroids and supervolcanoes only to be wiped out by a half a degree temperature rise. This really will be unprecedented. Check out her charts as well.

On the  brighter side. Australian scientists find species can adapt!

On the other hand. Australian academic wants to sue his retirement fund for not considering climate risks.

This entry was posted in Global warming and climate change policy, Rafe. Bookmark the permalink.

25 Responses to So we didn’t hit peak stupid last year

  1. And when this sort of testing is called science, you can call anything dire:

    Warming Climate May Threaten Small Marsupials in Australia

    Does anyone seriously believe that a testing period of only a few months is indicative of what can happen over years as adaptation sets in? How long does it take for someone who has spent their entire life say in Victoristan or TasMania to acclimatise to say Darwin or Townsville?

  2. nb

    A comment from JoNova’s post:
    PeterW February 14, 2020 at 6:47 am:

    Note that the claim is that species will be LOCALLY EXTINCT.
    That means that the same species could be present in millions just over the hill, but if it isn’t were it used to be…..
    Just more cherry-picking to create scary numbers

    ———————–
    My mantra with global warming is ‘When they stop lying I will start believing them.’
    This study might not be a lie, but it is deliberately inflammatory, and its doomsday framing is most certainly a lie.

  3. Tel

    How are the proven reserves of stupid holding up?

    As they crank up the exaggeration, the result is that fewer and fewer people believe them, but those few go more and more cult-like and nutty. There should be a name for this process because it’s part of the human religious experience.

  4. Chris M

    we might lose half the species on earth in the next 50 years

    It’s hard to understand the contradictory thoughts of Darwinian evolutionists. So what? Apparently they were weak and some better (gaia designed?) creatures will then come along to replace them, that’s exactly how your theory works.

  5. Terry

    But we should trust the “experts”…right?

    “Climate Change™” is indeed a massive problem, but it has very little to do with CO2 or the climate for that matter.

    To solve the problem, which is entirely political, we should first stop handing out “science degrees” to those that do not know how to practice Science, yet insist on being called a “scientist” and often “doctor” (or at least stop referring to them as “experts” – no you’re not).

    It might also be useful to find some politicians that can tell the difference between a real Scientist and a pretend one.

  6. Siltstone

    “Local extinctions”, ha! Try telling an environment regulatorr that you surveyed for a rare species and could not find it. They will say that just because you did not find it does not mean it is not there (and then procede to hold up your project).

    In Australia, the first national listing of species extinct in Australia was in 1992 (Endangered Species Protection Act 1992, since repealed). Note, these species may still be found in PNG, Indonesia etc etc. The current relevant Act is the Environmental Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999. Back in the early 1990’s there were 115 plants and animals listed as extinct (in Australia). In 2020 there are 91 species listed as extinct in Australia. Looks very much like things are getting better, not worse.

  7. Leo G

    Note that the claim is that species will be LOCALLY EXTINCT.
    That means that the same species could be present in millions just over

    If the research locations move with the species does that mean that much of the research will be locally extinct?
    How many degrees to the left can university researchers move before their extinction?

  8. Petros

    I think PNAS allows it’s members to publish stuff quite easily in their journal. Was it peer reviewed?

  9. The Problem Chris M, is these dolts haven’t yet worked out that to believe in this sort of doomsday fantasy deathmageddon stuff, you have to be in denial of Darwins Theory of Evolution…
    It’s another good question to ask the Warmenists.

  10. Bruce of Newcastle

    The research notes that if temperatures rise 0.5 degrees Celsius around the globe, approximately half of the world’s species would become locally extinct.

    My nearest BoM weather station says the temperature has risen 2 C since I got up this morning.
    So all the species in my local area have died twice already, and it’s only 9 am.

  11. Leigh Lowe

    Note that the claim is that species will be LOCALLY EXTINCT.
    That means that the same species could be present in millions just over the hill, but if it isn’t were it used to be…..
    Just more cherry-picking to create scary numbers

    Exactly.
    As soon as I saw that qualifier I smelt bullshit.

  12. Terry

    “So all the species in my local area have died twice already, and it’s only 9 am.”

    Don’t worry Bruce. They’ll be back before midnight.

  13. Colonel Bunty Golightly

    There are no organisations that the left has not infiltrated. Problem is no-one trusts any organisation anymore. All politicians and business leaders and beaurocrats are consider to be self serving shonks and our once trusted instructions like the CSIRO, universities and researchers considered to be guns for sale! No wonder the ordinary citizen has little respect for authority these days.

  14. Professor Fred Lenin

    The UK banning petrol powered cars in a few years is a brilliantidea, the petrol saved can be used to fuel the generstors that produce the power to charge electric cars ,as there is no way renewables can can cover the increased demand . Electric B doubles can carry their own generator and use their fuel tamks to get the generators going to charge the truck wjile they have theirrest breaks .
    You see all these problems the idiots create have solutions .
    Never thought I would be able to write this satire and it would be true!

  15. Bruce

    “Don’t worry Bruce. They’ll be back before midnight.”

    Just what we need: Zombie possums! Un-dead magpies! The HORROR!

    Our “house” possums have been very infrequent visitors this summer in Brisbane. This may have something to do with the extended “dry” and then “unprecedented” rain in our sub-tropical, coastal city . Scrounging and breeding patterns may have been temporarily altered.

    However, like the “Terminator”, they’ll be back. For several years, the “new” generation youngsters were brought over by their parents so that they could learn where to find bananas and sultanas. You can identify individuals by their colourations and their “battle-scars”; bits missing from ears, deep scratches on faces and limbs, etc..

    For the curious: Look up a thing called “The Wallace Line” and its relevance to the distribution of species in this part of the world.

    And “evolution” is not exactly like certain Japanese anime portray it.

  16. Our “house” possums have been very infrequent visitors this summer in Brisbane.

    Ours in South Gippsland have been very active and around every night.

  17. How are the proven reserves of stupid holding up?

    Huge reserves discovered on the streets of Syney and Dannograd.

  18. It’s Kool to be a dumb fuck in this Golden Age of the Simpletons …. Google has an App that’s replaced my brain !

  19. duncanm

    As Mr climate risk professor says

    The law is clear – super fund trustees have an explicit duty to pursue the best financial interests of members

    So — I presume I can sue the arse off my Super if they lose money on renewable boondoggles.

  20. Rohan

    Climate change may be a major threat to biodiversity in the next 100 years.

    That’s the first line in the papers abstract. So purhaps or could or imaginably or for all one knows or conceiveably might happen.

    I note that the word may isn’t will or is guaranteed to.

    I spy with my little trained eye into the big crystal ball of climate evangelism and predict this will also pass as a dud prediction of catastrapharianism. They’ve got nothing.

  21. The Cambrian explosion which was the beginning of all complex, multicellular life on Earth occurred at temperatures more than 10 degrees higher than present. But apparently 1 degree is going to wipe out half the species.
    These people think we’re all retarded or they wouldn’t make up tripe like this. Sadly, many people are retarded and will regurgitate this crap. This is what pisses me off most about The Holocausters. They peddle this shite fully cogniscant of the fact they are peddling shite then sit back, smug in their wrongteousness that they’ve lied…again, and got away with it…again.
    As for “locally extinct”, what a stupid, nonsensical Newspeak phrase.

  22. Cynic of Ayr

    Note that the dills that predicted doom and gloom, Gore, Flannery etc, were dumb enough to say, “So and so will happen.” But, of course, so and so didn’t happen.
    The present dills though, are not brave or stupid enough to fall into the same trap, not that it matters at all if they do!
    “In a way, it’s a ‘choose your own adventure,’” one of the study’s authors, John Wiens, said in a statement. “If we stick to the Paris Agreement to combat climate change, we may lose fewer than two out of every 10 plant and animal species on Earth by 2070. But if humans cause larger temperature increases, we could lose more than a third or even half of all animal and plant species, based on our results.”
    This clown even has the stupids so bad he let out that if humans cause larger temperatures increases… he’s not even sure that the temperatures will increase!
    They have no idea what will happen, or even if anything will happen. They just guessing Even previous guesses that have been overwhelmingly been proved wrong – Gore and Flannery etc – are not enough to give them pause.

    Grant money is very attractive.

  23. classical_hero

    If you read the words of uncertainty, then you’re not reading a scientific paper.

  24. John A

    Leo G #3323063, posted on February 14, 2020 at 8:38 am

    Note that the claim is that species will be LOCALLY EXTINCT.
    That means that the same species could be present in millions just over

    If the research locations move with the species does that mean that much of the research will be locally extinct?
    How many degrees to the left can university researchers move before their extinction?

    No doubt that factor could be measured in inverse proportion to the level of funding available for future .
    research.

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