SloMo Royal Commission: Destroying the Liberal Party in Order to Save It (and Himself)!

SloMo is launching a Royal Commission into bushfires. Exactly what this will add to the other 57 official inquiries we have had since 1939 is hard to imagine. Perhaps that should be item 1 in the terms of reference. Followed by item 2 as to why governments ignore the recommendations of Royal Commissions almost immediately after they have been tabled.

Royal Commissions are a growth industry and are fantastic for lawyers and consultants. They achieve next to nothing in the real world. Politicians love them because cleverly defined they enable them to dodge accountability for months or years knowing that by the time anything contentious is said about them the public will pretty much have moved on. How much better off are we after the Hayne Royal Commission the Coalition didn’t want?

In the meantime politicians can say they are “doing something”, mitigating criticism for not actually doing anything, on the pretence  that would preempt the Commissions findings.

The first task in framing a Royal Commission is to nominate the sacrificial lambs and then define the terms of reference to ensure they get slaughtered. SloMo’s political ineptitude while the fires were raging made him whipping boy number one. He needs a Royal Commission to blame someone else.

SloMo is presumably going to try and sheet it all home on state politicians, local councils and bureaucrats that criminally hindered or mismanaged fuel reduction and preventative activities leading up to the fires. Rightfully so in my humble opinion.

While this will presumably have a Green tinge to it his Liberal colleagues in NSW won’t be spared. So this is likely to inflame (no pun) more Liberal climate divisions in Wentworth and Higgins and become an ugly distraction. Don’t expect a word from Josh Frydenberg if it involves controversy or conviction. Success depends on saying nothing of any substance.

The nominated lambs in this Royal Commission are unlikely to self-identify as lambs, being this post-modern world we live in. How unfortunate!

Hence, they will not  meekly be herded into the slaughterhouse. Their tactic will be to turn the proceedings into a Royal Commission on Climate Change and turn the tables on SloMo who was dumb enough to include climate change in the terms of references as reported by The Australian (linked above):

The inquiry acknowledges climate change, the broader impact of our summers getting longer, drier and hotter and is focused on practical action that has a direct link to making Australians safer,” the Prime Minister said on releasing the terms of reference to the inquiry.”

Really? On what evidence is that so? And will the Royal Commission be forced to accept such unsubstantiated “terms” as fact or rather explore truth as it should?

My cynicism says to expect unprecedented use of the term “unprecedented”to describe climate and fire conditions that nonetheless could be copied verbatim from the 1939 Royal Commission when CO2 was a perfect 300-310 PPM (thereabouts).

This is how the 1939 report starts (Introduction -Part 1, p.5):

In the State of Victoria, the month of January of the year 1939 came towards the end of a long drought which had been aggravated by a severe hot, dry summer season. For more than twenty years the State of Victoria had not seen its countryside and forests in such travail. Creeks and springs ceased to run. Water storages were depleted. Provincial towns were facing the probability of cessation of water supply. In Melbourne, more than a million inhabitants were subjected to restrictions upon the use of water. Throughout the countryside, the farmers were carting water, if such was available, for their stock and themselves. The rich plains, denied their beneficient rains, lay bare and baking; and the forests, from the foothills to the alpine heights, were tinder. The soft carpet of the forest floor was gone ; the bone-dry litter crackled underfoot ; dry heat and hot dry winds worked upon a land already dry, to suck from it the last, least drop of moisture. Men who had lived their lives in the bush went their ways in the shadow of dread expectancy. But though they felt the imminence of danger they could not tell that it was to be far greater than they could imagine. They had not lived long enough.

SloMo could save taxpayers a fortune and copy and paste the 1939 Royal Commission report, and simply edit and update locations and bureaucracy names to make it contemporary.

For there is nothing unprecedented about the recent fires. Neither the causes, or severity, or climate leading up to it. Not even the IPCC will attribute a singular event to Climate Change such is the uncertainty.

Worse still, there was nothing unprecedented about the human element: from arson, mistake, or bureaucratic negligence, prioritising “seedlings” over “preventative burning” (see 1939 report, p16, albeit in relation to forestry), and above all from failing to learn from history.

As the Royal Commission of 1939 makes plain, people have short memories:

“There had been no fires to equal these in destructiveness or intensity in the history of settlement in this State, except perhaps the fires of 1851, which, too, came at summer culmination, of a long drought.

Some impression, then, of the unusual antecedents of the fires and of their extreme and unexpected severity may be gained. It will, it is hoped, be apparent that the experience of men in Victoria was such as to leave them unprepared for disaster on such a scale.”    

The only thing the SloMo Royal Commission will prove is that we have learnt nothing in 80 years and instead are endangering lives and property (public and private) on an eco-cult that would prefer nature destroy the forest in order to preserve it.

A perfect analogy to the policy preferences of the Liberal Party.

 

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35 Responses to SloMo Royal Commission: Destroying the Liberal Party in Order to Save It (and Himself)!

  1. duncanm

    80-100 years (1851 to 1939, 1939 to 2019) is quite instructive.

    It takes us about 3 generations to forget.

  2. Tel

    Royal Commission into Royal Commissions, now!

    Like a survey report to discover his much money was wasted, how many times the same facts get discovered and the same recommendations get ignored. Get the therblig monitor installed.

  3. SloMo is presumably going to try and sheet it all home on state politicians, local councils and bureaucrats that criminally hindered or mismanaged fuel reduction and preventative activities leading up to the fires. Rightfully so in my humble opinion.

    Which is pretty much what every Royal Commission has found (though always put towards the end of the findings as if it wasn’t overly important) and then completely ignored by the states who are somehow under the thrall of the Green lobby.

  4. a happy little debunker

    The drought that started in QLD as a result of a +ve IOD was neither forecast as a likely consequence of climate change and rainfall across QLD / Northern NSW shows no trend (less than 30 years) or change of climate (30+ years).

    Any acknowledgement of climate change or it’s impacts within the proposed terms of reference is factually incorrect.

  5. stackja

    Will NSW Forest Minister Matt Kean give evidence on why so little hazard reduction?

  6. Roger

    “The inquiry acknowledges climate change, the broader impact of our summers getting longer, drier and hotter and is focused on practical action that has a direct link to making Australians safer,” the Prime Minister said on releasing the terms of reference to the inquiry.”

    Longer, drier and hotter since when?

    The 1970s?

    Data please.

    We know that a mega drought hit the continent during the first c.22 years of the 1500s. Cimate change?

  7. Entropy

    The other purpose will be an expansion or more accurately creation of a role of the federal government in bushfire management, and by extrapolation natural disasters more generally.
    From Scotty from Marketing’s point of view he is being blamed anyway, so he might as well gain the responsibility from the states in order to have the actual powers to try and reduce the blame to him. Constitutional niceties be damned.
    SA and Tas will be only too happy to hand over responsibility so they can not spend the money on bushfire management and spend it on the latest arts festival instead. Vic and Qld will resist because ALP/LNP divide. NSW will flail about hopelessly and spend lots and lots on recovery, and some climate change mitigation project while banning CSG extraction in NSW while simultaneously demanding preferential access to Qld gas.

  8. Shy Ted

    Why on earth do you think this will save SloMo? His base knows he’s hopeless. Who’s gonna vote for him?

  9. Spurgeon Monkfish III

    acknowledges climate change, the broader impact of our summers getting longer, drier and hotter

    Bullshit. The only evidence for this is doctored temperature records flogged by the bureau of mediocrity and other dishonest hysterical anti-scientific tax hoovering frauds.

    Of course Morristeen is too stupid and ineffectual to even recognise this and so he’ll end up being cast as the central villain in the entire over hyped greenfilth anti human idiocy caused “disaster” – and he will deserve it because he’s a complete joke.

  10. Justinian the Great

    Entopy you make a good point. The only thing worse than Federal meddling in this issue is Federal responsibility! Everyone to blame and no one responsible!! Oh . . and the taxpayer funding duplication and incompetence writ large!

  11. Big_Nambas

    The Liberals recognised that Turnbull was hopeless and that his climate policies were a joke. now ScoMo wants to take us down the same track. The Liberals have lost the plot and are falling for the media campaign that pushes the climate scam to sell newspapers.

  12. H B Bear

    This won’t save Slo Mo.

  13. duncanm

    I for one think its been scoped in a fairly crafty fashion.

    Pay lip service to Climate Change (by acknowledging it), but focus on what can be done – “practical action that has a direct link to making Australians safer”

    Killing off our CO2 output is not ‘practical action’. a) its impractical to achieve in the short term, and b) our CO2 output is minimal in the wider scheme of things.

    So I think the outcomes are clear: more hazard reduction & less bush around people.

  14. Howard Hill

    Those Aldi bags don’t fill themselves ya know?

  15. Justinian the Great

    duncanm I have no doubt this is what the brains trust of Liberal Party or PMO believe and hence think they are very clever and will come out smelling like roses. That is why they are a basket case. No Royal Commission will rule out climate change because it is too brave a call to go against the IPCC and MSM. The best case scenario is the RC cites the IPCC science (i.e. not the report not summary for policy makers) to highlight no link to bushfire trends and intensity globally. The political reality is they will hedge heir bets and blame a part of the bushfire season on global warming without a shred of solid evidence. That alone will provide political ammunition for the Greens and Labor.

  16. min

    There was enormous pressure from majority who had not bothered to look up previous bushfire RCs to have their own , 2009 s was forgotten so Scotty gave in . Appease the stupid ,the majority of voters .

  17. tombell

    we can vote in the senate – maybe – a big maybe. who the hell do you vote for in the reps?

  18. Scott Osmond

    At this point Scotty is just doing a Ted Baillieu. Keeping the pm’s seat warm for the next Labor leader. He obviously doesn’t know what to do or doesn’t care to do it. Like TA once he leaves office he’ll say all the right things and collect talking gigs and live high off all the sweet swag former pm’s get. Thing is though Labor is in trouble, even they realise that ruinals don’t work and the base is getting restless.

  19. Nob

    Killing off our CO2 output is not ‘practical action’. a) its impractical to achieve in the short term, and b) our CO2 output is minimal in the wider scheme of things

    And c) its uses provide a net benefit to society.

    There’s no bad effect of hydrocarbon use that isn’t more than offset by the sheer evil of depriving 7 billion people of it.

    The RC should be about prevention and management of bushfires full stop.

    Since at least two major RCs have already been about that and nothing much has changed, another RC is a waste of resources when Australia is sliding into the pit economically.

    The main difference I can see with the latest fires is that improved communication technology and evacuation plans have meant far fewer people died than would have previously.

  20. Mark M

    Prepare for no more bushfires!

    Atlassian’s Cannon-Brookes tips in $12 million to power fire-hit towns

    “Billionaire software developer and philanthropist Mike Cannon-Brookes has set aside $12 million to install as many as 100 stand-alone solar and battery units in 100 days to provide off-grid power to hard-hit bushfire communities.”

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/atlassian-s-cannon-brookes-tips-in-12-million-to-power-fire-hit-towns-20200219-p5428o.html

    How much taxpayer money must Scotty from marketing spend before Scotty prevents a bushfire.

  21. OldOzzie

    OldOzzie
    #703418, posted on January 18, 2013 at 1:33 pm

    Dr Christine Finlay sums up the problem

    The researcher was also critical about the spread of national parks.

    “Australia’s new trend to turn as much forest and grassland as possible into national parks is very dangerous,” she said.

    “They constitute Australia’s biggest firestorm.”

    Dr Finlay said Australia needed to rethink its relationship with the bush.

    “(Authorities) need to change their policy drastically. It’s a kind of sentimental thing about nature being allowed to run national parks,” she said.

    “Appointing nature as their emergency manager, and their imaginary adviser, is not working.”

    “Aborigines – barefoot, semi-naked, not even a box of matches – had the bushfire problem solved.

    “Why does it just keep getting worse and worse and worse?”

  22. I_am_not_a_robot

    … copied verbatim from the 1939 Royal Commission when CO2 was a perfect 300-310 PPM (thereabouts) …

    Presumably Justinian the Great is being sardonic, plant food and all that.

  23. OldOzzie

    From Rafe’s Roundup, 18 Jan 2013 climate collection

    The infernos that Greens create by preventing proper bush maintenance.

    We are warned.

    Dr Christine Finlay, who completed a PhD in bushfire research at the University of NSW in 2005, said the recent spate of bushfires in NSW could have been prevented if authorities had adopted a tougher burn-off policy.

    “They should have been cool-burning in winter, when it was safe to do so, to reduce fuel loads,” she told AAP on Monday.

    Dr Finlay also questioned whether prescribed burns had actually reduced fuel loads and whether NSW authorities had miscalculated their response to the recent firestorm.

    “It’s just this massive domino effect of miscalculations, set up in a miscalculated way so that the catastrophe happens,” Dr Finlay said.

    The researcher was also critical about the spread of national parks.

    Another warning, see the chapter on Forests in the Critique of Green policies.

    Clear a fire break in WA and go to gaol.

    Leading alarmist Hansen concedes that the thermometer has stuck for some years.

    And the British Mets find much the same but they keep it cool.

    In case you have not noticed how the IPCC does business (for new Cats). Laframboise on the bias and malpractice in the political world of climate “science”.

    Great Product Names, off topic but too good to languish deep in an open thread that will be left behind this evening. Thanks sdfc!

  24. The direction taken by the RC will of course turn on how its course is decided by the 3 commissioners. The chair is ex Air Force brass and having worked with a couple of like persons I have doubts that about his capacity to keep a clear focus. That Macintosh holds a chair at the ANU is a worry. (Did Julie Bishop get in Morrison’s ear?) That he has specialised in climate change management looks promising, but I suspect that he subscribes to the line out of the ANU climate change line. Annabelle Bennett has been on the ANU Council, but is now associated with Bond University. She is a respected lawyer and not one of the ex-Federal Court virtue signalling judges.

  25. OldOzzie

    To Melbourne Cats

    How do Temperatures for February 2020 compare to

    Yep – Memories of Melbourne Feb 1968

    according to BOM, the run from the 13th Feb to the 25th Feb 1968 recording – 32.1C, 26.2C, 37.1C, 38.2C, 38.9C, 38.1C, 36.3C, 31.6C, 32.2C, 23.8C, 36.3C, 41.4C, 40.9C ?

  26. The reason our PM has launched his own RC is because the red state of Victoria and the half red state of New South Wales have launched one each, and we know that they will find themselves beyond faultless. No one will own up to defunding the Rural Fire Services, or not providing resources for clearing of fire trails and just sitting back while the national parks grow out of control while we the public, in 4WD or on horseback, or God forbid wanting to camp there are not allowed in, with steel bars and padlocks in place. So Scott has launched his own RC to end in August this year, let’s see what it brings.

  27. Bruce

    The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule. – H. L. Mencken.

    Thus:

    “We (UN-IPCC) redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy…””One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy anymore…” – Dr Ottmar Endenhofer-, IPCC co-chair of Working Group 3, November 13, 2010.

    ”A total population of 250-300 million people, a 95% decline from present levels, would be ideal.” – Ted Turner, Founder of CNN and major UN donor

    ”Unless we announce disasters no one will listen.” – Sir John Houghton, First chairman of the IPCC

    ”It doesn’t matter what is true, it only matters what people believe is true.” – Paul Watson, Co-founder of Greenpeace

    ”We’ve got to ride this global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic and environmental policy.” – Timothy Wirth, President of the UN Foundation

    ”No matter if the science of global warming is all phony… climate change provides the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.” – Christine Stewart, former Canadian Minister of the Environment

    “The only way to get our society to truly change is to frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe.” – Emeritus Professor Daniel Botkin

    ”Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?” – Maurice Strong, Founder of the UN Environmental Program

    ”Global Sustainability requires the deliberate quest of poverty, reduced resource consumption and set levels of mortality control.” – Professor Maurice King.

    ”I suspect that eradicating small pox was wrong. it played an important part in balancing ecosystems.” – John Davis, Editor of Earth First! Journal.

    “Interesting times” are afoot.

  28. Young Freddy

    Those Royal Commission comments are fascinating. The South West of WA had a massive wildfire in 1937, here’s the comments of the “Kalgoorlie Miner” of 20 February that year.

    “BUSH FIRE DISASTER

    The disastrous bush fires which have swept a belt of country, extending from Manjimup in the heart of the lower south-western, timber country, south-east some 60 miles to Nornalup and then east another 40 miles or so to Denmark —a total of about 100 miles — would have been impossible on such a huge scale probably in anv other part of the Commonwealth except Queensland, because of the distribution of settlement, or in any other conditions than those which prevailed on Wednesday, February 10.

    The heavily timbered south coastal belt usually receives such regular summer rainfall that any month which does not produce an inch or more of rain is considered dry, and the lower South-West also participates in this summer rain, though to a lesser and less regular extent. This season, however, practically no rain has fallen since October, with the result that even by Christmas the whole countryside was parched. Minor watercourses were dry months before their time, and even, the major ones carried greatly reduced streams. Pastures were dry many weeks before their customary season, strawberries and small berry fruits completely failed, and the roads, usually of fairly firm gravel, were loose and treacherous, as many holiday motorists found to their cost, while the bush was like dry tinder, just waiting for a conflagration if the spark were supplied. In ordinary meteorological circumstances everything was ripe for a series of dangerous fires, but it remained for the vigorous offshoot of the North-West willy-willy which swept the South- West and south coasts on February 9 and 10 to provide the giant blowpipe necessary to kindle a vast, utterly uncontrollable and irresistible blaze such as has seldom been seen in Australian history.”

    My Grandfather, Father, uncles and Aunts lived through that fire, they never forgot it.

  29. Elderly White Man From Skipton

    Coalition may yet split over this. In which case Barnaby and Canavan will have to test the Bernadi theorem again, hoping for better results. ALP has pegged out the IPCC target, so it may also split, providing Fitz and others to the Barnaby/Canavan crowd. Queensland’s problem is going to be falling demand for coal, which will become an open sore for whomever represents them.
    Overall, it looks very likely that the Parliament may have more variable coalitions and moving numbers on issues such as energy, welfare, defence and taxation. NSW is going rapdily towards a dominant liberal govt, with an opposition that may not in future be ALP. Victoria is set to have a long ALP govt.
    I expect the next large scale weather events to flip the policy to a hard line on IPCC 1.5. I also think the EU may impose carbon trading on Australia in the next trade agreement.

  30. Tom

    The bottom line is that the junk science of climate change, which now consumes more than $US2 trillion of world GDP — more than the entire Australian economy — will again escape scrutiny by the bushfires royal commission.

    Only Trump’s America is standing up to the CAGW hysteria. Australia’s LNP (and BoJo’s Britain) just go along with the latest fashion being promoted by dumb, tribal academics and the MSM.

  31. Val Majkus

    The Prime Minister has announced that Sky News TV host and commentator Andrew Bolt will lead the upcoming Royal Commission into the recent horror bushfire season.

    “The federal government is honoured to have such a pre-eminent journalist on board as Chairman for the Royal Commission,” says Scott Morrison.

    “Andrew is an impartial commentator and an expert in seeking the truth.”

  32. Val Majkus

    I don’t know if the above is correct; haven’t read it elsewhere

  33. Squirrel

    The gummints of Victoriastan and the PRC (Peoples’ Republic of Canberra) seem to be quite unhappy about the federal RC, so it can’t be all bad.

    The posturing twits in seats like Wentworth and Higgins will never be happy with the likes of Morrison, but when they reflect on what Albanese and Bandt want to do with their wealth and to their very comfy material lifestyles, self interest will win out.

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