Drudge runs as its lead story, “Any Republican 47% Obama 41%”. I take it that the implication is to be read that Obama is behind and this is an election for the Republicans to lose.
The reality is that Obama is so far out in front I cannot see how it’s possible that he could lose. Inside the story itself, there is this:
President Obama leads most of the current GOP hopefuls aside from New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, who is not running, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, who he’s essentially tied with.
Obama was running around saying that the Republicans should “pass this bill” about his new stimulus package when there was no bill to pass and is saying it still when it is his own Democrats who refuse to pass it. I know this, you know this but about 80% of Americans do not know this and have no ready means to find out. Their media certainly won’t tell them.
Then with the two issues that would sink any Republican, would sink anyone if the media took a serious interest in discussing them – Fast and Furious for one and Solyndra for the other – there is a virtual media blackout. You can find out about them, as is obviouly the case, and if you are interested you can follow the stories, I suppose. But it’s not as if these are splashed across the media day after day as major issues with serious implications about the competence and judgement of the administration if not actually worse.
Meanwhile, the story that did do the rounds is about Rick Perry and the n-word rock. A man with an absence of any racist past is depicted in exactly the reverse way. Meanwhile, no-hope candidates such as Ron Paul and Herman Cain are waved by the media as serious contenders. How long would that last in a real election?
In all my observations on the American election, I continuously now come back to that Peggy Noonan column. Think of the kind of apparatus that lies behind this facade of a President in the context of what she wrote.
The other day a Republican political veteran forwarded me a hiring notice from the Obama 2012 campaign. It read like politics as done by Martians. The “Analytics Department” is looking for “predictive Modeling/Data Mining” specialists to join the campaign’s “multi-disciplinary team of statisticians,” which will use “predictive modeling” to anticipate the behavior of the electorate. “We will analyze millions of interactions a day, learning from terabytes of historical data, running thousands of experiments, to inform campaign strategy and critical decisions.”
Down 41-47 a year out from the election against a generic Republican. If that’s not a winning hand, I don’t know what is. Obama may still lose, but it is going to be an uphill battle fought not just against the Democrats but against the American media as well.