I have an article at The Drum on the Republican primaries which argues that Mitt Romney has not quite taken a winning break on Santorum and the others but is almost there. To fail to take the nomination from the commanding position he now has would require a remarkable turn of events – this is politics, after all, so it could happen – but if things stay on course, he will have the delegates he needs by the time the convention begins in Tampa.
The article also looks at another question which is whether the Republicans made a mistake in deliberately prolonging the primary as they have. The uncertainty and the internal criticisms have had a debilitating effect on everyone. There is also almost no interest amongst Republicans in the process with voter turnout well down. However, even so, my concluding thought was that in the final analysis taking the long road home may end up working for the Republicans after all:
On balance it does seem to have worked well. The right candidate has emerged if the Republicans are interested in nominating the person most likely to win. The process has also been one in which Romney has been tested in every kind of circumstance a candidate might face. He has been toughened by the experience and will be better able to present the Republican side of things when he and Obama finally face each other in their debates and then in the election campaign overall.
This is, moreover, turning into a very winnable election for the Republicans. There will be the stacked media that will run interference for Obama, and incumbancy will count for something, but in the end the old question, are you better off today than you were four years ago will be difficult for Obama to fend off.