Four months is a long time in politics

Watching Andrew Bolt today I shared his concern about the American election. It is astonishing to see the line-up against Donald Trump. Every major news network but one, and even that is now half-hearted. The continuous efforts by various institutions of supposedly higher culture – the arts, the academic world, publishing – among which their one area of certain agreement is that Donald Trump has to go. It is a point of guaranteed friction to discuss Donald Trump with virtually everyone we know, and I never bring him up since it is the near-unanimous belief that Trump is the worst president since time began. And when he is mentioned, no one is ever able to explain just exactly what is wrong with what the President has done, or how Joe Biden, or any other Democrat, will make conditions better but they are determined to see him win. And then there is the Corona Virus, and the deep recession that was brought on to kill it. Not to mention the relentless effort to darken the President’s name through Mueller, impeachment and so much else that can be brought into the story, a story that commenced even during the election in what ought to be seen as the greatest political scandal in American history. And then there is the certainty of a relentless and vicious effort that will be made to steal the election. The effort to subvert the attendance at the Trump rally in Tulsa is just a foretaste of what will be in play on November 3.

So this is where we are, but this is the true political miracle of the moment. In spite of everything, Donald Trump is still more likely to win than not, even though it’s by no means a certainty which it never is in a two-horse race. Let me therefore take you back to the post I wrote on November 1, 2016, A week is a long time in politics.

It’s Melbourne Cup day in an American election year but the election is not today. The constitution determined that presidential elections should be held on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. I don’t know the official reason why but my guess is that back in 1787 they decided not to have the election the day after Hallowe’en so that everyone could spend the day righting their outhouses and cleaning the soap off the windows. But whatever the reason, it has meant that this year there is another week to go.

In my view, had the election been held today, Hillary would have won. The extra week has the potential to reverse this outcome, as the media are forced to report on the corruption and incompetence of Hillary Clinton, as revealed in the emails released. A week from now, it is possible that enough independents, and even some traditional Democrats, will have become sickened at the thought of a Clinton presidency to allow Trump enough of a margin to win in spite of the certain illegality of Democrat election practice.

And the stories provide nothing new, but with the FBI now saying that the investigation into Hillary is open again, attention is being paid. And this is what even the New York Times, Washington Post and ABCBSNBC are being compelled to cover.

LA TIMES TUESDAY: FBI Investigators had planned to conduct new email review over several weeks. It now hopes to complete ‘preliminary assessment’ in coming days, but agency officials have not decided how, or whether, they will disclose results publicly… Developing…
CARVILLE CRACKS: Asserts FBI, GOP and KGB in Cahoots…
Podesta’s BFF At DOJ Will Be In Charge Of New Probe…
45% say scandal worse than Watergate…
BUCHANAN: Pres. Hillary would go way of Nixon…
Clinton unfavorable rating hits new high…
Pollster: ‘Dam About to Break’…
22 million ballots already in…
CITI: Black swan could throw vote off course…
STUDY: Networks Attack Comey Over Clinton 3 to 1…
TRUMP TARGETS DEMOCRATIC STATES IN FINAL ASSAULT…

And the straightforward fact is that even if elected, Hillary could not govern. These are not placid times, and it is not too much to say that the fate of the West is being decided for us right now. More from Drudge:

BORDER BLOWN OPEN…
ILLEGALS FLOOD IN…
FEDS HIDE NUMBERS…
‘WORST WE’VE EVER SEEN’…
SESSIONS: 817,740 CROSSED LAST YEAR!
Leaked Images Show Illegals Strolling Across Open Border…

Merkel’s Germany descends into lawlessness…
‘Losing control of streets’…

Putin preps army of robots…
Nuke Sub Off Brit Coast…
NATO, Russia to hold parallel drills…

I know enough Democrat voters to appreciate how obnoxiously determined they are to vote for Hillary. We met a woman in a cafe yesterday who decided to join into a conversation I was having with my wife. Her issue. Trump treats women badly. The infuriating reality was that she knew no facts about anything. No facts at all about any of the policy matters that will determine the future of the Western world. We are staring at the fall of the American Republic and she is worried only about the sexual practices of alpha males. No analogy with Bill and Hillary’s enabling would even be entertained. My wife even brought up Bob Hawke and his womanising, but she was determined not to be dissuaded by anything anyone might say.

Yet it really is the policy differences that matter. For a rundown of what those differences are you can go to WHERE CLINTON AND TRUMP STAND – ON EVERY MAJOR ISSUE [which has now disappeared from the web]. Just looking at the list of issues ought to terrify anyone, and then there are Hillary’s policy positions which are inferior to Trump’s in every case.

If the election were held today, Donald Trump would win.

This entry was posted in American politics, Western Civilsation. Bookmark the permalink.

22 Responses to Four months is a long time in politics

  1. K2

    Hey fellow Trump lover!

    My old mother is 95 and is still “with it ” to an extent etc. She loves Trump. “Why weren’t all these other Presidents and what not like this bloke”? I said that they were all politicians, but Trump isn’t a politician. He’s a businessman who is trying to fix America. She understood that.

  2. Karabar

    Damn right, K2
    I have a cousin who lives in Tampa and is in her 99th year.
    She has been a loyal Trump supporter since at least 2015.

  3. MatrixTransform

    just yesterday a fella sat opposite me while we did some business.

    The bloke seemed completely normal until he fell into some TDS rant about what Trump said and reducing virus testing

    I smiled and said, yeah that man is hilarious especially because the virus case metrics are near meaningless without a widespread testing regime

    The man before me just doubled down with what Trump said and injecting bleach.

    I just responded, “yah, weird isn’t it?” and the bloke trailed off not realising that by ‘weird’ I wasn’t really talking about Trump.

    What is really weird, is that this has been happening lately with all sorts of randoms that I meet.

    Numpties, the lot of ’em

  4. Entropy

    I a,ways believe it is best not to argue with idiots because other people might not be able to tell the difference.

  5. Iampeter

    Watching Andrew Bolt today I shared his concern about the American election. It is astonishing to see the line-up against Donald Trump. Every major news network but one, and even that is now half-hearted.

    Yea that’s the issue. The fact that Trump is a complete leftist, brazenly corrupt, that he’s destroying even the most basic norms of the office he holds, impoverishing America and surrendering the West’s interests on every front all over the world, none of that seems to come up.
    Almost like conservatives have absolutely no idea what’s going on and are just reduced to talking about other clueless people talking about politics.

  6. Candy

    The Dems have a lot riding on the quality of the black lady VP as she will be the President and have tremendous support from BLM. They desperately want another Obama.

  7. Googoomuck

    “And when he is mentioned, no one is ever able to explain just exactly what is wrong with what the President has done,”

    How true. Not many people are that interested enough in US politics to seek the alternative view. My partner, bless her, purses her lips and tell me she simply doesn’t like Trump. She has no idea about the reasons for his actions; it simply comes down to a dislike of his demeanour, which is influenced by the negative news stories. I’ve become a bit of a US politics nerd, so I like to think I have a more rounded understanding. They are Byzantine, to put it mildly.

  8. wal1957

    Sleepy Joe might be ensconced in a rest home by the time the election comes due.
    After seeing all the havoc being caused by the woke PC crowd around the world, I am amazed that any sensible person could even contemplate voting for a dumbocrat, especially dopey Joe.

  9. NuThink

    I know a woman who told me that Trump was bad, bad, bad – this at the time he fired many at the Veterans Affairs – so I asked her why he was so incredibly bad and beyond redemption. She said because Trump had fired many people at the VA. I replied that he fired them for not doing their jobs.
    Her reply – that is no reason to fire someone.
    I would have thought (silly me) that as she works in a very small company in an influential position that carrying dead wood is not viable (unless you want a little kindling to start a fire).

  10. stackja

    BET founder Robert Johnson mocks crowds pulling down statues, calls them ‘borderline anarchists’

    BET founder Robert Johnson, in an interview Wednesday with Fox News, blasted those who are toppling Confederate and other statues across the nation as “borderline anarchists” — while challenging the notion that black Americans support this.

    People tearing down statues “have the mistaken assumption that black people are sitting around cheering for them saying ‘Oh, my God, look at these white people. They’re doing something so important to us. They’re taking down the statue of a Civil War general who fought for the South,” Johnson said. “You know, black people, in my opinion, black people laugh at white people who do this the same way we laugh at white people who say we got to take off the TV shows.”

  11. If the election were held today, Donald Trump would win

    No no no no, you should change what you are doing! Don’t coast to inevitable victory!

    Heh.

  12. Colonel Bunty Golightly

    Regardless of who wins, the world is now stuffed. The left can now riot, destroy, pillory careers and do whatever it likes and no-one even tries to stop it. In some cases it is supported by the very people who should be protecting us. We have been disarmed and are sitting like big, fat, hapless turkeys waiting to be plucked. And plucked we will be once the left runs out of statues and cities to destroy and starts to look our way. What’s yours will soon be theirs and you can’t do a thing to stop it.

  13. Entropy

    Just so you know the Move On kiddies are saying:

    Don’t rely on the polls: Trump is Winning.

    Dear MoveOn member,

    It’s less than 20 weeks to Election Day, and the worst possible thing is happening right now: Democrats are starting to think they have the election in the bag.

    Yes, Donald Trump’s national poll numbers are slumping across the board right now. Trump’s devastating bungling of the coronavirus pandemic, the depth of the economic crisis he exacerbated, and his violently racist response to the Black Lives Matter protests have been epic disasters.

    But seriously. Didn’t we learn ANYTHING from 2016?

    As bad as Trump’s numbers are now, his base still loves him, and he still has a massive advantage in the Electoral College.1 He has way more money than the Biden campaign.2 His campaign is light-years ahead of Democrats in harvesting voter data and targeting voters on social media—and Trump’s campaign is tapping into the destructive expertise of disinformation tactics online.3,4 And as the primaries have unfolded during the pandemic, we’ve seen how far Republicans will go to suppress the vote—especially of voters of color—in key states like Wisconsin, Florida, and Georgia.5

    On top of all of that, the recent swing in the polls toward Joe Biden can swing right back to Trump. It’s only June.

    MoveOn is developing a strategy based on an innovative approach called “Vote Tripling,” and, so far, testing data shows it could be five times more effective than traditional strategies like phone calls and canvassing. On average, MoveOn’s monthly donors chip in about $12 a month. Will you chip in $12 a month to help us get this game-changing program off the ground and keep it running in 10 of the most important swing states to defeat Trump in November

  14. Boambee John

    MoveOn is developing a strategy based on an innovative approach called “Vote Tripling,”

    Voting three times?

  15. Robber Baron

    Bolt generally has poor judgement about politics.

  16. Rohan

    Allright, just so you guys are in the know. If you wan’t to guage the real metrics on who’s likely to win the lection, you nead to head over to Google Trends. GT has correctly picked the election result in the US and Australia for the last 12-13 years theyve been running it. Basically it’s the amount of times people search for a term in Google.

    So once you’re there, add Donald Trump as the first search term. Then add a Joe Biden as the second search term. Then Filter by country so that only the US is showing. Or you can just click on this link.

    https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%203-m&geo=US&q=%2Fm%2F0cqt90,joe%20biden

    Joe Biden is currently shoing about 1/3 of the interest that Hillary had in 2016 compared to Trump at a comparable time in the leadup to 2016. Biden hasn’t a snowflakes chance in hell. The only way Trump will lose is if the Dems assasinate him or rig the election voting.

  17. min

    The notes taken at the meeting involving Obama, Biden , and others in the Flynne set up on Michael Smith News . Trump possibly has enough evidence to lay serious charges.

  18. Kneel

    “…Trump is a complete leftist, brazenly corrupt, that he’s destroying even the most basic norms of the office he holds, impoverishing America and surrendering the West’s interests on every front all over the world…”

    Got any examples, Peter? You know, where Trump did something you list that was even comparable to what Hillbillary was advocating or had already done.

  19. Iampeter

    Got any examples, Peter? You know, where Trump did something you list that was even comparable to what Hillbillary was advocating or had already done.

    You mean aside from the obvious Ukraine example, which you’re ignoring because you’re dishonest?
    Another example is something like this.
    Easily on the level of Clinton, or worse.

    But something tells me your response will be “nothing to see here!” Just like a Clinton supporter.
    All you leftists are basically interchangeable at this point.

  20. Squirrel

    “…..one area of certain agreement is that Donald Trump has to go…”

    That would include Republicans who see themselves as having a very good chance in 2o24 after what would likely be four very, very disappointing years for a lot of people who seem to think that a front-man President, and a VP chosen primarily on the grounds of gender and race, will be able to fix everything they’re currently unhappy about.

  21. John A

    Iampeter #3495726, posted on June 25, 2020, at 8:45 pm


    Another example is something like this.

    Any report using that kind of gutter language is not worth reading. It’s no more than a mindless rant.

    Ukraine – you mean the Biden & Son bit, don’t you? Talk about projection…

Comments are closed.