Monckton vs Lancet on the benefit of warming.

Christopher Monckton replied to an alarmist editorial in The Lancet, “once a respected medico-scientific journal and now just another me-too mouthpiece for the usual suspects.”

After correcting the error, anthropogenic global warming will be only one-third of current midrange projections, well within natural variability and net-beneficial to life and health. CO2 fertilization (for CO2 is plant food) has assisted in steadily increasing crop yields – this year’s global harvest has set yet another record – and in improving drought resistance (Hao et al., 2014) and greening the planet.

Your suggestion that warmer worldwide weather has caused net loss of life, particularly among the world’s fast-declining population of poor people, is fashionable but misplaced. Cold is a bigger killer than warmth.

There is no reason to die from heat unless there is dehydration or prolonged direct exposure and serious burning.

According to the WHO, 4 million annually die of particulate pollution from smoke in cooking fires because they lack domestic electrical power and, for the same lack, 500,000 women die in childbirth. These are just two of the many causes of death from lack of access to electricity that kill tens of millions annually. The chief reason why so many cannot turn on a light is not global warming but misconceived policies intended to address what is in reality a non-problem.

More than 90% of all new greenhouse-gas emissions (BP Annual Review of Energy, 2019) are in nations exempt from the Paris agreement.

You have said China must do more, but China – though it has its own space programme and continues to occupy Tibet by military force – is exempt from Paris on the ground that it is a “developing country”. It is not required to forswear its sins of emission.

Besides, the trillions that have been squandered on fashionable but misguided attempts to abate greenhouse-gas emissions have made no difference at all. The radiative forcing from anthropogenic greenhouse gases has increased in a fashion very close to a straight line (the dotted line above) for 40 years.

OFF TOPIC : Courtesy of Dan Mitchell, our Man in DC.


Start at 12 minutes to avoid the introduction.


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14 Responses to Monckton vs Lancet on the benefit of warming.

  1. Epicurious says:

    The coal consumption by region ought to be front page material for the next 6 months until it sinks in to the useful idiots,

  2. H B Bear says:

    Problem is the useful idiots would say we are part of the Asia-Pacific and say we need to shut more coal generators here.

  3. Andre Lewis says:

    Facts just bounce off the climate change warriors because they just know they are right, and even if they are not its worth it to remove capitalism. If the crazies were just loners howling at the moon no problem but they have infested governments, public service departments, senior managers in big corporations and schools/universities. Its getting impossible to stop them ruining western economies so their socialist mates can take over.

  4. Entropy says:

    The current drought in eastern Australia that is drawing to a close is probably a bit worse than the millennium drought, if only for the intensity of it during the last six months of 2019. It has gone a bit longer too.
    It is not of course, as bad as our worst recorded drought fir intensity or extent, the federation drought, which being before 1910 doesn’t factor into BOM memory. And you could argue the whole period 1895 to 1948 was an extended dry period much worse than the last thirty years. In between Australia was apparently the land of milk and honey.

  5. Bruce of Newcastle says:

    The Lancet editor is a supporter of Extinction Rebellion.
    Which shows how far it has fallen, and how extensive the Gramsci march now is.

  6. Baa Humbug says:

    How the canard that a gas medium can “trap radiation” passed the sniff test is beyond me.
    Tens of thousands of “muh scientists” should be ashamed of themselves.

    Think of the missed engineering possibilities. /s

  7. Bronson says:

    Being a climate warrior means never having to say sorry and face reality. Like the pre-reformation church the elite corrupt hierarchy live in debauched enclaves and thrive by selling indulgences to the peasantry for ‘carbon’ abatement.

  8. dopey says:

    I see Tim Flannery has a new book out on saving the planet, or something.

  9. Turtle says:

    I had drinks with Lord Monckton once. Top bloke.

  10. John Smith101 says:

    How the canard that a gas medium can “trap radiation” passed the sniff test is beyond me.

    This is worth a look, a pre-print by W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer: Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on Five Most Abundant Greenhouse Gases.

    From the paper (page 34) regarding climate sensitivity:
    Doubling the CO2 concentration will cause a temperature decrease of the upper atmosphere
    of about 10 K as shown in Fig. 11 to restore hypothetical radiative-convective equilibrium.
    For the case of fixed absolute humidity, the surface warms by 1.4 K which agrees
    very well with other work as shown in Table 5. The surface warming increases significantly
    for the case of water feedback assuming fixed relative humidity. Our result of 2.3 K is within
    0.1 K of values obtained by two other groups as well as a separate calculation where we used
    the Manabe water vapor profile given by (87). For the case of fixed relative humidity and a
    pseudoadiabatic lapse rate in the troposphere, we obtain a climate sensitivity of 2.2 K.

  11. jupes says:

    I had drinks with Lord Monckton once. Top bloke.

    Me too. In the Qantas club.

  12. Baa Humbug says:

    This is worth a look,

    Yet another paper that assumes this planet is a flat disk that operates on averages.
    Academic curiosity.

  13. cohenite says:

    I had LM out to Newcastle twice to great crowds. One of the great human beings. The first time was in 2009 and then the abc didn’t know what to make of him; this was before the tribal mentality took over and a few alarmists BOM hacks whispered into their dumb ears.

    But the worst attack on LM was by a NMH hack who wrote a whole article about LM’s goggle eyes. I had the pleasure of throwing this arsehole out at LM’s second visit a year later.

    The situation was evenly poised then but the sceptics, like all conservatives thought there were rules; plus they were outspent.

    Alarmism is the greatest success of the commies.

  14. Nicholas (Unlicensed Joker) Gray says:

    1998. The psychic Edgar Cayce once talked about a Solar cycle that would start rising in i958 and go on to 1998. Since he died in 1945, and his words were published before 1958, this is an impressive record. He also claimed that we could be living in a better, non-violent, planet after that time, but this was conditional on humans making good choices. So, disappointment, but no real surprises at how the human world has gone.

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