Wind power failing in South Australia + the Doomsday Clock + visual delight

South Australia is billed as the wind-leading state with a quarter of the installed capacity of the NEM, the South Eastern Australian integrated grid (2.1GW of 8.1GW). Victoria has 2.9GW, NSW 1.9, Tasmania and Queensland 0.6 each.

Over the last ten days SA was importing power from Victoria at breakfast time every day apart from last Sunday. At dinnertime they were importing every day apart from last Sunday and Monday.

This is the dispatch summary at present, a bit after dinner, screen shots are not  uploading to provide the picture an hour ago, will post if it is working tomorrow.

This is the current NemWatch widget picture.


Pan down the Doomsday Date on the right hand side and see what was supposed to happen by 2020.  For example, a prediction in 2012

End of Australian snow’ by 2020.
From GriffthNews, quote: “Griffith’s Associate Professor Catherine Pickering has researched the effects of declining snow cover and hotter summers on the Australian Alps. […] ‘We’ve predicted by 2020 to lose something like 60% of the snow cover of the Australian Alps,’ she said. […] ‘In a few years the amount of water that ski resorts will need to make snow is going to exceed the amount of water that’s used by Canberra. And it looks like we are heading back towards dry conditions, so where will they get the water?'”.
Related: 15 Day Snow Forecast for June 2020.



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11 Responses to Wind power failing in South Australia + the Doomsday Clock + visual delight

  1. Barry Bones says:

    And they were exporting at those other times.

    Trading is good – What’s your point?

  2. Rafe Champion says:

    Not necessarily exporting at other times. Check out the amount of wind they had in the middle of the day. For several hours they were under 5% of capacity and generating less than 100MW.

    The point is they would have cold breakfst and dinner most days without power from somewhere else.

    Have you ever heard about wind droughts?

    Look at the NemWatch widget every evening and contemplate the amount of extra windmills required to convert the red, brown and black parts of the bars in all of the states into the green of wind power.

  3. Tim Neilson says:

    And they were exporting at those other times.

    Trading is good – What’s your point?

    Hi Barry.

    Do you like your fridge to stay cold 24/7 or would you be happy with your freezer thawing out any time there was a wind drought when the sun wasn’t shining (e.g. at night)?

    Because if you like your fridge cold 24/7 you ought to be concerned about the idea of all jurisdictions on the grid going as heavily solar/wind as SA.

    That’s the point.

  4. Fang says:

    End of Australian snow’ by 2020.
    Who? Are the morons that “up vote” climate catastrophes? Are they happy about the catastrophe, or that someone has predicted the catastrophe?

    Humans are/have gone nuts!

  5. Epicurious says:

    Englands Jerusalem, lovely song but I can’t see the poms getting their voices around it. You need to be able to sing. They have trouble with the short God Save the Queen.

  6. David Brewer says:

    Thanks for the “snow job” quote from 2012.

    There is a slight fall in Snowy mountains snow over the last 60 years, but it’s far less than 60% over that entire time, let alone from 2012 to now.

    See graphs for 1956-2016 here.

    But look at each individual year’s falls, not at the pretty graphic at the top of the page that seems to show a big fall. The trouble with the way it is presented is that for the earlier years, all you can see are the years of big snowfall. The years with lousy snowfall, like 1954, 1959, 1969, 1973, 1982 or 1989 are all more or less completely hidden behind later years with better falls. If you look at the annual data below you see virtually no trend since 2001.

    Note also here that 2019 was a very good snow year at Spencers’ Creek, with only slightly lower depth than 2000, the last “bumper” year. 2020 was admittedly pretty crap, but no worse than the earliest year in the record, 1954.

  7. mundi says:

    Pickering plays everyone for a fool.
    She has spent her entire career publishing nonsense like this.
    She gets paid for it. Gets money thrown at her.
    Zero accountability.
    For all her papers and academia, has not done a single thing of value to the real world.

  8. Pedro the Loafer says:

    Can you imagine the howling and roaring from England’s millions of Mooslies if Englands Jerusalem was even considered as its national anthem?

  9. max says:

    Warren Buffet:
    “we get a tax credit if we build a lot of wind farms. That’s the only reason to build them. They don’t make sense without the tax credit”

    Vaclav Smil:
    Wind turbines are the most visible symbols of the quest for renewable electricity generation. And yet, although they exploit the wind, which is as free and as green as energy can be, the machines themselves are pure embodiments of fossil fuels.

    For a 5-megawatt turbine, the steel alone averages 150 metric tons for the reinforced concrete foundations, 250 metric tons for the rotor hubs and nacelles (which house the gearbox and generator), and 500 metric tons for the towers.

  10. max says:

    Global Warming Doomsday Cult

    Environmentalism can’t survive without a doomsday scenario. Forty years ago it was “the population bomb,” proclaimed by the infallibly wrong Paul Ehrlich. Soon afterward, it was an impending Ice Age. That has given way to Global Warming—which, in deference to harsh winters and less than torrid summers, is yielding place to the much more elastic boogeyman of Climate Change.
    Whatever form it takes, the message is always the same: “Put us in power and do what we say, or you’re all gonna die!”

  11. old bloke says:

    And did those feet in ancient time
    Walk upon England’s mountains green?

    William Blake obviously believed so. He was quite likely correct, Yeshua’s grand-uncle and guardian, Joseph of Arimathea, was a wealthy man who had mining interests in Cornwall and elsewhere, so Yeshua most likely travelled with him.

    This is to be expected of course, He said that his mission was to go to the lost sheep of Israel. This would also explain the origins of the early Celtic Church, Druidism’s transition into the Culdee Church, and why individuals such as Caratacus were followers of Yeshua prior to AD 40.

    There’s many stories and legends which suggest that Yeshua did walk upon England’s “green and pleasant land,” one example I read about recently concerns an exhibit in a small museum in Cornwall or Devon called the Jesus Stone. This stone appears to be a sack filled with seed, the legend says that Yeshua as a young man was riding a donkey through the land when he came upon two men preparing a field to grow a crop.

    He asked the men if He could take a handful of seed to feed his donkey and they said that they didn’t have any seed. Yeshua pointed to their sack of seed and they denied having any seed again, and they said that it was just a rock at the end of their field.

    Yeshua replied that they said it was just a rock, then so be it, and continued on his journey.

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